Cheltenham Town vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cheltenham Town played Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 29 December 2025. Final score: 0:2.

Current form

Cheltenham Town: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Swindon Town: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cheltenham Town scores 0.95 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.59 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.65 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cheltenham Town 41%, Swindon Town 55%. Over 2.5: Cheltenham Town 36%, Swindon Town 64%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Swindon Town has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.10. Cheltenham Town: 9.7 shots per match, Swindon Town: 12.6.

Match halves

Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.64. Swindon Town: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.59.

Goals by minute

Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (7 goals). Swindon Town: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 2.65 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
8Shots13
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
0Shots on target9
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
0.88xG1.75
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
7Corners4
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
51Dangerous attacks40
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
5Fouls10
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
0Cards2
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
0.95Goals scored / match1.59
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
1.59Goals conceded / match1.18
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
46%Average possession53%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
2.77Shots on target / match4.73
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.73Shots per match12.59
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
2.77Shots on target4.73
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
9.8%Shot conversion12.6%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
46%Possession53%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
1.1xG for1.41
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
1.79xG against1.33
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

Shooting quality

Cheltenham Town: BalancedSwindon Town: Balanced
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
Accuracy (shots on target)28%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cheltenham Town is 11% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.8 pts / match - Swindon Town

Cheltenham Town
LWDWW
Season result split
36% W14% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-3-11
1.23 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Swindon Town
WLWWL
Season result split
55% W18% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-4-6
1.82 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
6-1-4
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Swindon Town is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

0.95 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.59 goals / match - Swindon Town

Swindon Town is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.59 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.18 goals / match - Swindon Town

Cheltenham Town scoring profile: strong

Cheltenham Town scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).

Swindon Town scoring profile: very strong

Swindon Town scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).

21Goals scored (season)35
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
35Goals conceded (season)26
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
2.55Average goals in match2.77
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
7Goals scored (last 5)6
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal77%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
23%2 goals59%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
5%3 goals23%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
0%4 goals0%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal73%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
41%2 goals32%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
18%3 goals9%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
9%4 goals5%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

56%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time32%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
5%BTTS in both halves9%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
18%Scored in both halves27%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
60%BTTS - last 520%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
23%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time23%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time59%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
59%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
5%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Swindon Town is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.05 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.55 pts / match - Swindon Town

Cheltenham Town - half-time state
18% leading50% draw32% trailing
Swindon Town - half-time state
36% leading45% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.05Points per match (1st half)1.55
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
0.32Goals scored (1st half)1
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
0.86Average goals (1st half)1.59
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
68%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
73%No goal before half-time41%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.32
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
0.64Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
1.05Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
1.68Average goals (2nd half)1.18
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
32%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town
41%No goal after half-time55%
Cheltenham TownSwindon Town

Cheltenham Town - second-half results

27% W36% D36% L
23
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Swindon Town - second-half results

23% W64% D14% L
34
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding153%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cheltenham Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Swindon Town - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.20.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cheltenham Town
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
2
3
16-30
3
3
31-45
3
7
46-60
7
7
61-75
4
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

Swindon Town
ScoredConceded
9
7
0-15
4
3
16-30
9
3
31-45
3
1
46-60
3
3
61-75
7
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.66
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-62%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cheltenham Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+9.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
130%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.77
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Swindon Town

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 26% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

Cheltenham TownLigaSwindon Town
Average goals in match 2.552.65 2.77
Both teams scored 41%56% 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 36%48% 64%
Clean sheets 27%25% 27%
Goal before half-time 50%71% 77%
Goal after half-time 95%75% 59%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.65
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.22
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+15%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Swindon TownSubstitutionOn: Filozofe MabeteOff: Paul Glatzel
  2. Swindon TownYellow cardJoel McGregor
  3. Swindon TownGoalJoel McGregor
  4. Swindon TownSubstitutionOn: William WrightOff: Finley Munroe
  5. Swindon TownGoalFilozofe MabeteAssist: William Wright
  6. Cheltenham TownSubstitutionOn: Isaac HutchinsonOff: Arkelle Jude-Boyd
  7. Swindon TownSubstitutionOn: Jake TaborOff: Oliver James Palmer
  8. Cheltenham TownSubstitutionOn: Tom TaylorOff: Ethon Archer
  9. Cheltenham TownSubstitutionOn: Josh MartinOff: Jordan Thomas
  10. Swindon TownYellow cardJames Cameron Ball

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cheltenham Town 1 - 0 - 0 Swindon Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Cheltenham Town vs Swindon Town?

The EFL League Two match finished Cheltenham Town 0:2 Swindon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cheltenham Town vs Swindon Town?

Cheltenham Town score 0.95 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.59. The EFL League Two average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Cheltenham Town's matches and 55% of Swindon Town's.

What form are Cheltenham Town and Swindon Town in?

Over the last 5 games Cheltenham Town have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Swindon Town 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cheltenham Town vs Swindon Town?

The statistical background for Cheltenham Town vs Swindon Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.