Cheonan City vs Suwon Bluewings: match statistics

Suwon Bluewings sit top of the league with 12 wins from 21 matches, while Cheonan City have won just 4 games and are 14th. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five league fixtures, scoring 9 goals and conceding 5, whereas the hosts have failed to win any of their last five matches, posting an 8:11 goal difference. Away from home, Suwon create significantly more chances, averaging 17 shots and 5.8 on target per match with an xG of 1.93, compared with Cheonan’s 12.1 shots, 3.6 on target and 1.43 xG at home. The hosts score just 0.9 goals per home game and have failed to score in 40% of those fixtures, while Suwon average 1.7 goals away and have scored in every away appearance. A draw remains possible, as Cheonan draw 60% of their home matches, but the visitors’ superior performance levels and current form point to a Suwon victory.

Suwon Bluewings have not recorded a single scoreless match this season, while their average of 1.70 goals and xG of 1.93 strongly support the visitors finding the net. Cheonan City have kept a clean sheet in 55% of their matches overall this season, but they have conceded an average of 2.2 goals across their last five games, with an xG against of 1.68. The hosts should also create chances, having scored 1.6 goals per game recently, while Suwon have kept a clean sheet in just 40% of their matches. The BTTS trend is strong based on Cheonan’s current form, with both teams scoring in 80% of their last five matches, compared with 60% for Suwon. Although Cheonan’s season-long BTTS rate of 36% reduces confidence, Suwon’s attacking numbers and the clear deterioration in the hosts’ defence make a BTTS - Yes scenario more likely.

Suwon Bluewings possesses a very solid attacking profile: its average xG stands at 1.93, rising to 2.01 over the last five matches. During this period, Cheonan City conceded as many as 2.2 goals per game, increasing the visitors’ chances of scoring. However, the hosts have conceded just 0.73 goals per match across the season and kept a clean sheet in 55% of their games. At the same time, neither team has allowed an opponent to score at least four goals, while matches featuring fewer than 3.5 goals accounted for 73% of Cheonan’s games and 70% of Suwon’s. Even with both teams showing improved recent attacking form, the projected total of 2.78 goals points more often to a scoreline in the 2–3 goal range than to four or more. Therefore, the safest pick is Under 3.5 goals.

A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Cheonan were level at the break in 7 of their 11 home matches (64%), while Suwon did so in 4 of 10 away games (40%); over their last five matches, these figures were 60% and 80%, respectively. The opening stages are generally cautious: the hosts concede just 0.18 goals before half-time at home, while the visitors concede 0.30, with average first-half scoring figures of 0.73 and 0.80 goals, respectively. After the interval, however, the advantage shifts to Suwon, who average 1.20 goals, win the second half in 60% of matches, and have recorded 2.2 points from second halves in their last five games, compared with Cheonan’s 0.8. Current form also clearly favours the visitors: Suwon are unbeaten in their last five matches (2 wins and 3 draws), while Cheonan have failed to win any of theirs, losing three and conceding an average of 2.2 goals per game. Therefore, the most consistent scenario is a level score at half-time followed by a Suwon Bluewings victory at the final whistle.