Cheongju vs Seoul E-Land: match statistics

Seoul E-Land sit 3rd, while Cheongju are only 13th, and the visitors’ overall season record stands at 12 wins and 5 defeats, compared with just 3 victories for the hosts. The visitors are unbeaten in their last five matches, collecting 9 points and conceding only 4 goals, whereas Cheongju have taken 5 points and conceded 9 goals over the same period. Away from home, Seoul E-Land win 50% of their matches, score an average of 1.50 goals and concede just 1.00, while Cheongju concede as many as 1.75 goals per home game. The hosts do post a slightly higher average home xG, 1.59 compared with the visitors’ 1.57 away from home, but Seoul E-Land record more shots on target per match (5.00 to 4.33) and have a clearly superior conversion rate, 12% compared with 9%. Cheongju’s high home draw rate of 50% increases the likelihood of a share of the points, but the visitors’ more stable defence and current unbeaten run point towards an away win.

Cheongju records BTTS in 82% of league matches, well above the league average of 63%, while the rate of both teams scoring in their last five games stood at 80%. The hosts have not been held scoreless in any match this season, averaging 2.09 goals and creating chances worth 1.75 xG, so they are highly likely to score even against the opponents’ more solid defence. Seoul E-Land average 1.50 goals, and over their last five appearances they generated a high 1.83 xG per match, while Cheongju conceded 1.8 goals per game during that period. The visitors do have a 33% clean-sheet rate and conceded just 0.8 goals per match in their last five games, but their current BTTS rate of 80%, combined with the hosts’ weaker defence, strengthens the case for goals at both ends. BTTS - Yes is therefore the most likely outcome, although Seoul E-Land’s recent defensive organisation limits confidence in the pick.

The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as Cheongju matches have featured at least 2 goals in 91% of cases, compared with 75% for Seoul E-Land matches. The hosts average 1.75 xG, while the visitors concede an average of 1.39 xG, supporting the scenario of a Cheongju goal despite their weaker recent finishing. Seoul E-Land create an average of 1.57 xG, rising to 1.83 xG across their last five matches, while Cheongju have conceded 1.45 xG over the same period. Both teams have also recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, and Cheongju conceded 9 goals during that span, averaging 1.8 per game. The projected total of 2.86 goals gives a clear edge to Over 1.5, although the visitors’ strong recent defensive record of conceding just 0.8 goals per match limits confidence in higher lines.

The strongest signal for the first half is a draw: Seoul E-Land were level at half-time in 9 of their 12 league matches this season, or 75%, and in each of their last five games they went into the break with the score undecided. The visitors average just 0.33 goals before half-time, compared with 0.82 for the hosts, but Seoul E-Land concede only 0.42 goals in this phase, limiting Cheongju’s chances of building a lead at the break. After the interval, the visitors have greater scoring potential: they won the second half in 57% of their matches and averaged 1.17 goals in those periods, while conceding only 0.58. Current form also favours Seoul E-Land, who are unbeaten in their last five matches, average 1.8 points per game and concede 0.8 goals, whereas Cheongju have conceded an average of 1.8 goals over the same period. Therefore, the most likely outcome is a cagey draw at half-time, followed by a turnaround in favour of the visitors after a more intense second half.