Bulgaria - First LeagueStadion TichaData current as of 23 October 2026

Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cherno More play Septemvri Sofia in First League (Bulgaria). The match date is 27 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Ticha.

Current form

Cherno More: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Septemvri Sofia: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cherno More scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Septemvri Sofia scores 0.91 and concedes 1.91. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cherno More 64%, Septemvri Sofia 55%. Over 2.5: Cherno More 55%, Septemvri Sofia 64%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Cherno More has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.36. Cherno More: 9.6 shots per match, Septemvri Sofia: 9.2.

Match halves

Cherno More: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55. Septemvri Sofia: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.64.

Goals by minute

Cherno More: 76-90+ (3 goals). Septemvri Sofia: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

First League: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.71)
(3.52)
(4.75)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
1Goals scored / match0.91
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
2Goals conceded / match1.91
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
50%Average possession53%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
4.73Shots on target / match3.82
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.64Shots per match9.18
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
4.73Shots on target3.82
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
10.4%Shot conversion9.9%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
50%Possession53%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
1.37xG for1.36
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
1.31xG against1.32
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

Shooting quality

Cherno More: BalancedSeptemvri Sofia: Balanced
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
Accuracy (shots on target)49%42%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cherno More is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.4 pts / match - Cherno More · 0.2 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia

Cherno More
LLDDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
9% W27% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-7
0.55 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Septemvri Sofia
DLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
18% W18% D64% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-7
0.73 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cherno More is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Cherno More · 0.91 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia

Septemvri Sofia is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Cherno More · 1.91 goals / match - Septemvri Sofia

Cherno More scoring profile: very strong

Cherno More scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Septemvri Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

Septemvri Sofia scoring profile: very strong

Septemvri Sofia scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Cherno More keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 11 matches).

11Goals scored (season)10
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
22Goals conceded (season)21
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
3Average goals in match2.82
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
4Goals scored (last 5)6
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
9Goals conceded (last 5)12
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

How often they score at least...

64%1 goal73%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
27%2 goals18%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
9%3 goals0%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
0%4 goals0%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal82%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
55%2 goals64%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
36%3 goals45%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
9%4 goals0%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time9%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
9%Scored in both halves0%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
60%BTTS - last 580%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time18%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cherno More is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / match - Cherno More · 0.64 pts / match - Septemvri Sofia

Cherno More - half-time state
18% leading36% draw45% trailing
Septemvri Sofia - half-time state
9% leading36% draw55% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per match (1st half)0.64
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.27
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
1.09Average goals (1st half)0.91
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
45%Clean sheet before half-time36%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
64%No goal before half-time82%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

After half-time (2nd half)

0.64Points per match (2nd half)1.09
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.64
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
1.36Goals conceded (2nd half)1.27
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
1.91Average goals (2nd half)1.91
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
18%Clean sheet after half-time27%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia
64%No goal after half-time45%
Cherno MoreSeptemvri Sofia

Cherno More - second-half results

9% W36% D55% L
10
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Septemvri Sofia - second-half results

27% W27% D45% L
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-7
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.64
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cherno More - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.41.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Septemvri Sofia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.61.8
Average goals in match1.02.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cherno More
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
5
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
4
46-60
2
5
61-75
3
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

Septemvri Sofia
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
2
4
61-75
1
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.91
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-14%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
47%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cherno More

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.37
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.69
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
66%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
168%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 18% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Septemvri Sofia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.59
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
76%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
126%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).

Teams vs league

Cherno MoreLigaSeptemvri Sofia
Average goals in match▲ 3.002.71▲ 2.82
Both teams scored▲ 64%55%• 55%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%52%▲ 64%
Clean sheets▼ 0%25%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%69%▲ 73%
Goal after half-time• 82%81%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.52
Home goals / match
1.19
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Cherno More 1 - 1 - 0 Septemvri Sofia. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FK Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
PFC Cherno More Varna
PFC Cherno More Varna
1 : 1
FK Septemvri Sofia

FAQ

When do Cherno More and Septemvri Sofia play?

Cherno More face Septemvri Sofia on 27 October 2026 in First League at Stadion Ticha. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cherno More and Septemvri Sofia?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cherno More won 1, Septemvri Sofia won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia?

Cherno More score 1.00 goals per game on average and Septemvri Sofia 0.91. The First League average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Cherno More's matches and 55% of Septemvri Sofia's.

What form are Cherno More and Septemvri Sofia in?

Over the last 5 games Cherno More have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Septemvri Sofia 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia?

The statistical background for Cherno More vs Septemvri Sofia — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.