Chesterfield vs Colchester United: match statistics
Chesterfield displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and only 13% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +11 in home matches. The hosts have a clear advantage in possession (58% vs 49%) and significantly more shots on goal (4.25 vs 3.31), translating to greater offensive efficiency in home games (1.69 goals average). Colchester United shows a high tendency for draws away (38%), however, their average xG away (1.18) is lower than Chesterfield's xG at home (1.52), suggesting lower potential for creating dangerous chances. Recent form for both teams is level (Chesterfield 1.6 PPG vs Colchester 1.4 PPG), but the hosts' advantage in home stats and higher efficiency makes them favorites for this encounter. I expect a Chesterfield victory, though Colchester's stubborn play leading to a draw cannot be ruled out.
Chesterfield vs Colchester United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chesterfield play Colchester United in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 3 March 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Chesterfield: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Colchester United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chesterfield scores 1.48 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Colchester United scores 1.35 and concedes 1.07. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chesterfield 58%, Colchester United 50%. Over 2.5: Chesterfield 44%, Colchester United 35%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Colchester United has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.41. Chesterfield: 12.1 shots per match, Colchester United: 12.4.
Match halves
Chesterfield: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.79. Colchester United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Chesterfield: 76-90+ (17 goals). Colchester United: 0-15 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Chesterfield displays solid home form with a 44% win rate and only 13% losses at their own stadium, achieving a positive goal difference of +11 in home matches. The hosts have a clear advantage in possession (58% vs 49%) and significantly more shots on goal (4.25 vs 3.31), translating to greater offensive efficiency in home games (1.69 goals average). Colchester United shows a high tendency for draws away (38%), however, their average xG away (1.18) is lower than Chesterfield's xG at home (1.52), suggesting lower potential for creating dangerous chances. Recent form for both teams is level (Chesterfield 1.6 PPG vs Colchester 1.4 PPG), but the hosts' advantage in home stats and higher efficiency makes them favorites for this encounter. I expect a Chesterfield victory, though Colchester's stubborn play leading to a draw cannot be ruled out.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chesterfield | Colchester United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colchester United is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Chesterfield · 1.8 pts / match - Colchester United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chesterfield is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.48 goals / match - Chesterfield · 1.35 goals / match - Colchester United
Colchester United is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Chesterfield · 1.07 goals / match - Colchester United
Chesterfield scores in 85% of matches (41 of 48 matches), while Colchester United keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).
Colchester United scores in 67% of matches (31 of 46 matches), while Chesterfield keeps a clean sheet in 31% (15 of 48 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Chesterfield
Over / Under — Colchester United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chesterfield is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.48 pts / match - Chesterfield · 1.22 pts / match - Colchester United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chesterfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Colchester United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chesterfield
Colchester United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Chesterfield | Liga | Colchester United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.57 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 48% | ▼ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 27% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 67% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chesterfield 0 - 0 - 1 Colchester United. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chesterfield vs Colchester United?
The EFL League Two match finished Chesterfield 3:0 Colchester United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chesterfield vs Colchester United?
Chesterfield score 1.48 goals per game on average and Colchester United 1.35. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Chesterfield's matches and 50% of Colchester United's.
What form are Chesterfield and Colchester United in?
Over the last 5 games Chesterfield have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Colchester United 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chesterfield vs Colchester United?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.