Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami: match statistics
Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chicago Fire played Inter Miami in MLS (United States). The match was played on 10 September 2026. Venue: Soldier Field. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Chicago Fire: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Inter Miami: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chicago Fire scores 1.95 and concedes 1.45 goals per match. Inter Miami scores 2.52 and concedes 1.87. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chicago Fire 73%, Inter Miami 78%. Over 2.5: Chicago Fire 77%, Inter Miami 78%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Inter Miami has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.58. Chicago Fire: 13.9 shots per match, Inter Miami: 15.4.
Match halves
Chicago Fire: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.05. Inter Miami: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 1.30.
Goals by minute
Chicago Fire: 61-75 (10 goals). Inter Miami: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chicago Fire have a clear home advantage: they win 70% of their home matches, score an average of 2.00 goals per game, and have never failed to find the net at home. Inter Miami score even more away from home, averaging 2.25 goals per match, but they also concede as many as 1.75 goals and keep a clean sheet in only 25% of such fixtures. The hosts also create higher-quality chances at home, posting an average xG of 1.76 compared with Inter’s 1.44 away from home, while they register more shots on target: 5.4 versus 4.83. The current trend is also crucial: Chicago have lost just 1 of their last 5 matches and scored 8 goals, whereas Miami have suffered 3 defeats in that period and conceded 12 goals. The visitors remain highly dangerous offensively, making a both-teams-to-score scenario realistic, but Chicago’s more stable defence, conceding 1.10 goals per home game, gives the hosts a slight edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The signal for both teams to score is very strong: Chicago has recorded BTTS - Yes in 90% of its matches this season, while Inter Miami has done so in 67%, compared with a league average of 62%. Both teams have a five-match streak with a 100% BTTS rate; during this period, Chicago scored and conceded 2.0 goals per match, while Inter Miami scored 2.6 and conceded 2.4. The hosts failed to keep a clean sheet in 90% of their matches, while the visitors prevented a goal in only 25% of cases, significantly increasing the chances of both attacks finding the net. Chicago averages 2.11 xG and 8.0 shots on target per match, whereas Inter Miami averages 1.44 xG and has a 17% shot conversion rate. Additionally, 80% of Chicago’s matches and 67% of Inter Miami’s matches featured at least three goals combined with BTTS, making the most likely scenario one in which both teams score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Chicago Fire play their matches with an average of 2.90 goals, while Inter Miami average 2.25, compared with a league average of 3.19. The 1.5-goal line has been covered in 100% of Chicago’s matches and 83% of Miami’s games, creating an exceptionally strong signal for at least two goals. The hosts generate an average of 2.11 xG and 8.0 shots on target per match, while Miami have scored 13 goals and conceded 12 in their last five appearances. Both teams recorded a result with goals from both sides in 100% of their last five matches, while Over 2.5 occurred in 80% and 100% of those games, respectively. The projected total of 3.55 goals also supports higher lines, but Over 1.5 is the safest choice due to the near-perfect alignment between the season-long data and current form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Inter Miami have won 67% of their matches this season and average 2.17 points per game, while Chicago Fire have a 40% win rate and average 1.60 points. The visitors led at the break in 60% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.2 goals in those first halves and conceding just 0.6, which supports their early advantage. Chicago are nevertheless dangerous offensively at home, generating 2.11 xG and averaging 8 shots on target, so scenarios involving a half-time draw or a home lead retain a significant share. After the break, Inter average 1.42 goals, while Chicago concede 1.0, whereas Miami have conceded as many as 1.8 goals after half-time in their last five appearances, pointing to an open match. The strongest individual outcome remains an away lead at half-time followed by a full-time victory, although Chicago matches averaging 4.9 total goals limit confidence in this selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chicago Fire | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chicago Fire is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Chicago Fire · 1 pts / match - Inter Miami
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Inter Miami is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.95 goals / match - Chicago Fire · 2.52 goals / match - Inter Miami
Chicago Fire is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.45 goals / match - Chicago Fire · 1.87 goals / match - Inter Miami
Chicago Fire scores in 95% of matches (21 of 22 matches), while Inter Miami keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
Inter Miami scores in 91% of matches (21 of 23 matches), while Chicago Fire keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chicago Fire
Over / Under - Inter Miami
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chicago Fire - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Inter Miami - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chicago Fire
Inter Miami
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS).
Teams vs league
| Chicago Fire | Liga | Inter Miami | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.41 | 3.21 | ▲ 4.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 63% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 77% | 62% | ▲ 78% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 21% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 77% | • 78% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Chicago Fire 0 - 0 - 1 Inter Miami. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?
The MLS match finished Chicago Fire 1:1 Inter Miami. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?
Chicago Fire score 1.95 goals per game on average and Inter Miami 2.52. The MLS average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Chicago Fire's matches and 78% of Inter Miami's.
What form are Chicago Fire and Inter Miami in?
Over the last 5 games Chicago Fire have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Inter Miami 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Chicago Fire vs Inter Miami: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.