Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay: match statistics
Connah's Quay displays decidedly better form and statistics this season. The visitors sit in 2nd place with 14 victories and a goal difference of 48:25, while Colwyn Bay is in 6th position with a balance of 29:25. Connah's Quay's away form is particularly impressive – 64% away wins, 45% clean sheets, and a streak of 4 wins in the last 5 matches overall. The hosts, meanwhile, have lost 3 of their last 5 fixtures and possess weaker scoring efficiency (1.64 goals on average in home matches vs 1.82 for the visitors on the road). Connah's Quay's advantage in possession (56% vs 47%) and higher xG coefficient further support the prediction of an away victory.
Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colwyn Bay played Connah's Quay in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Colwyn Bay: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Connah's Quay: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colwyn Bay scores 1.32 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Connah's Quay scores 2.18 and concedes 1.14. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colwyn Bay 50%, Connah's Quay 64%. Over 2.5: Colwyn Bay 41%, Connah's Quay 77%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Connah's Quay has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.45. Colwyn Bay: 11.6 shots per match, Connah's Quay: 13.7.
Match halves
Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.45. Connah's Quay: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.32.
Goals by minute
Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (7 goals). Connah's Quay: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Connah's Quay displays decidedly better form and statistics this season. The visitors sit in 2nd place with 14 victories and a goal difference of 48:25, while Colwyn Bay is in 6th position with a balance of 29:25. Connah's Quay's away form is particularly impressive – 64% away wins, 45% clean sheets, and a streak of 4 wins in the last 5 matches overall. The hosts, meanwhile, have lost 3 of their last 5 fixtures and possess weaker scoring efficiency (1.64 goals on average in home matches vs 1.82 for the visitors on the road). Connah's Quay's advantage in possession (56% vs 47%) and higher xG coefficient further support the prediction of an away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colwyn Bay | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Connah's Quay is 117% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 2.6 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Connah's Quay is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.32 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 2.18 goals / match - Connah's Quay
Colwyn Bay scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Connah's Quay keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
Connah's Quay scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
Over / Under - Connah's Quay
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Connah's Quay is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.64 pts / match - Connah's Quay
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Connah's Quay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colwyn Bay
Connah's Quay
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Colwyn Bay | Liga | Connah's Quay | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.45 | 3.09 | ▲ 3.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 58% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | • 77% | 77% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 45% | 74% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Colwyn Bay 0 - 1 - 1 Connah's Quay. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Colwyn Bay 2:2 Connah's Quay. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Connah's Quay?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 0, Connah's Quay won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay?
Colwyn Bay score 1.32 goals per game on average and Connah's Quay 2.18. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 64% of Connah's Quay's.
What form are Colwyn Bay and Connah's Quay in?
Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Connah's Quay 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Colwyn Bay vs Connah's Quay: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.