Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: match statistics
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colwyn Bay played Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 5:4.
Current form
Colwyn Bay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Penybont: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colwyn Bay scores 1.18 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Penybont scores 1.65 and concedes 1.35. League average: 3.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colwyn Bay 41%, Penybont 35%. Over 2.5: Colwyn Bay 29%, Penybont 53%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Penybont has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.46. Colwyn Bay: 11.9 shots per match, Penybont: 11.1.
Match halves
Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.35. Penybont: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 1.12.
Goals by minute
Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (7 goals). Penybont: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.09 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colwyn Bay | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colwyn Bay is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.2 pts / match - Penybont
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.65 goals / match - Penybont
Colwyn Bay is 53% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.35 goals / match - Penybont
Colwyn Bay scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Penybont scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
Over / Under - Penybont
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colwyn Bay is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.47 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.24 pts / match - Penybont
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Colwyn Bay | Liga | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 3.09 | • 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 58% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 35% | 31% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 75% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 35% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Colwyn Bay 0 - 0 - 1 Penybont. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Colwyn Bay 5:4 Penybont. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
Colwyn Bay score 1.18 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.65. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 35% of Penybont's.
What form are Colwyn Bay and Penybont in?
Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Penybont 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
The statistical background for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.