Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: match statistics
Penybont demonstrates significantly better away form with a 50% win rate on the road, while Colwyn Bay wins only 31% of their home matches. The visitors hold 3rd place in the table with an 11-7-7 record, placing them clearly above the hosts (6th place, 9-7-9 record). Penybont boasts a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%) and a higher average possession (48% vs 46%). Colwyn Bay are in terrible form, averaging just 0.8 points per game over their last 5 matches with an L,D,L,W,L sequence, while Penybont average 1.2 points per game and show more stable form with a W,D,D,L,D run. Although the visitors concede more goals on average away from home (2.25), their advantage in other statistics along with a 42% clean sheet rate in away matches supports their case for victory. The hosts have failed to win 3 of their last 5 matches, further diminishing their chances.
Colwyn Bay vs Penybont: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colwyn Bay played Penybont in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Colwyn Bay: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Penybont: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colwyn Bay scores 1.28 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Penybont scores 1.44 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colwyn Bay 48%, Penybont 40%. Over 2.5: Colwyn Bay 40%, Penybont 44%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Penybont has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.45. Colwyn Bay: 11.6 shots per match, Penybont: 10.5.
Match halves
Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.52. Penybont: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (7 goals). Penybont: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Penybont demonstrates significantly better away form with a 50% win rate on the road, while Colwyn Bay wins only 31% of their home matches. The visitors hold 3rd place in the table with an 11-7-7 record, placing them clearly above the hosts (6th place, 9-7-9 record). Penybont boasts a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%) and a higher average possession (48% vs 46%). Colwyn Bay are in terrible form, averaging just 0.8 points per game over their last 5 matches with an L,D,L,W,L sequence, while Penybont average 1.2 points per game and show more stable form with a W,D,D,L,D run. Although the visitors concede more goals on average away from home (2.25), their advantage in other statistics along with a 42% clean sheet rate in away matches supports their case for victory. The hosts have failed to win 3 of their last 5 matches, further diminishing their chances.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colwyn Bay | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Penybont is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.2 pts / match - Penybont
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Penybont is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.28 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.44 goals / match - Penybont
Colwyn Bay is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.48 goals / match - Penybont
Colwyn Bay scores in 68% of matches (17 of 25 matches), while Penybont keeps a clean sheet in 40% (10 of 25 matches).
Penybont scores in 64% of matches (16 of 25 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 28% (7 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
Over / Under - Penybont
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Colwyn Bay is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.36 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 1.12 pts / match - Penybont
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Penybont - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colwyn Bay
Penybont
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Colwyn Bay | Liga | Penybont | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.44 | 2.99 | • 2.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 56% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 29% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 75% | • 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Colwyn Bay 1 - 0 - 1 Penybont. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Colwyn Bay 3:1 Penybont. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and Penybont?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 1, Penybont won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
Colwyn Bay score 1.28 goals per game on average and Penybont 1.44. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 40% of Penybont's.
What form are Colwyn Bay and Penybont in?
Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Penybont 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont?
The statistical background for Colwyn Bay vs Penybont — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.