Colwyn Bay vs The New Saints: match statistics
The New Saints definitely dominate this clash as the league leader with an impressive record of 19 wins this season. Their away form is excellent - 73% win rate, 55% clean sheets, and only 0.73 average conceded goals on the road. Colwyn Bay ranks only 6th with average home form (33% wins) and weak recent results - only 1 win in the last 5 matches. The difference in possession quality (47% vs 64%) and offensive efficiency (1.67 vs 2.18 average goals scored) decisively speaks in favor of the visitors. Additionally, The New Saints have better xG indicators both in attack (1.95 vs 1.52) and defense (0.86 vs 1.39), confirming their qualitative advantage.
Colwyn Bay vs The New Saints: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Colwyn Bay played The New Saints in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 13 February 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Colwyn Bay: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. The New Saints: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Colwyn Bay scores 1.33 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. The New Saints scores 2.75 and concedes 0.79. League average: 3.07 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Colwyn Bay 50%, The New Saints 38%. Over 2.5: Colwyn Bay 42%, The New Saints 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
The New Saints has higher xG: 2.15 vs 1.46. Colwyn Bay: 11.8 shots per match, The New Saints: 17.0.
Match halves
Colwyn Bay: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.54. The New Saints: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 1.54.
Goals by minute
Colwyn Bay: 31-45+ (7 goals). The New Saints: 46-60 (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.07 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The New Saints definitely dominate this clash as the league leader with an impressive record of 19 wins this season. Their away form is excellent - 73% win rate, 55% clean sheets, and only 0.73 average conceded goals on the road. Colwyn Bay ranks only 6th with average home form (33% wins) and weak recent results - only 1 win in the last 5 matches. The difference in possession quality (47% vs 64%) and offensive efficiency (1.67 vs 2.18 average goals scored) decisively speaks in favor of the visitors. Additionally, The New Saints have better xG indicators both in attack (1.95 vs 1.52) and defense (0.86 vs 1.39), confirming their qualitative advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Colwyn Bay | The New Saints | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
The New Saints is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 2.4 pts / match - The New Saints
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
The New Saints is 107% better for: goals scored per match.
1.33 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 2.75 goals / match - The New Saints
The New Saints is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Colwyn Bay · 0.79 goals / match - The New Saints
Colwyn Bay scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while The New Saints keeps a clean sheet in 58% (14 of 24 matches).
The New Saints scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Colwyn Bay keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Colwyn Bay
Over / Under - The New Saints
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
The New Saints is 66% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Colwyn Bay · 2.29 pts / match - The New Saints
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Colwyn Bay - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
The New Saints - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 79%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Colwyn Bay
The New Saints
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Colwyn Bay | Liga | The New Saints | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.46 | 3.07 | ▲ 3.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 57% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 28% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Colwyn Bay 0 - 1 - 1 The New Saints. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Colwyn Bay vs The New Saints?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Colwyn Bay 0:2 The New Saints. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Colwyn Bay and The New Saints?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Colwyn Bay won 0, The New Saints won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Colwyn Bay vs The New Saints?
Colwyn Bay score 1.33 goals per game on average and The New Saints 2.75. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.07 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Colwyn Bay's matches and 38% of The New Saints's.
What form are Colwyn Bay and The New Saints in?
Over the last 5 games Colwyn Bay have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and The New Saints 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Colwyn Bay vs The New Saints?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.