Como vs Lecce: match statistics
Como displays significantly better home form with a 46% win rate and an impressive +12 goal difference in home matches. The hosts maintain an average of 63% possession and score 1.62 goals per home fixture, conceding just 0.69. Lecce has very poor away statistics—only 25% wins on the road, a negative goal difference of -7, and failing to score in 50% of matches. Additionally, the visitors average only 0.67 goals per away match, which, combined with Como's 54% clean sheet rate at home, makes the hosts the clear favorite. The difference in xG (1.79 for Como vs 1.01 for Lecce) and table position (6th vs 18th) further confirm the hosts' advantage in this clash.
Como vs Lecce: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Como played Lecce in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Como: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Lecce: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Como scores 1.58 and concedes 0.73 goals per match. Lecce scores 0.65 and concedes 1.27. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Como 38%, Lecce 31%. Over 2.5: Como 38%, Lecce 31%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Como has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.10. Como: 14.3 shots per match, Lecce: 10.0.
Match halves
Como: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.96. Lecce: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.31.
Goals by minute
Como: 61-75 (10 goals). Lecce: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Como displays significantly better home form with a 46% win rate and an impressive +12 goal difference in home matches. The hosts maintain an average of 63% possession and score 1.62 goals per home fixture, conceding just 0.69. Lecce has very poor away statistics—only 25% wins on the road, a negative goal difference of -7, and failing to score in 50% of matches. Additionally, the visitors average only 0.67 goals per away match, which, combined with Como's 54% clean sheet rate at home, makes the hosts the clear favorite. The difference in xG (1.79 for Como vs 1.01 for Lecce) and table position (6th vs 18th) further confirm the hosts' advantage in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Como | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Como is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Como · 1.4 pts / match - Lecce
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Como is 143% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Como · 0.65 goals / match - Lecce
Como is 74% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.73 goals / match - Como · 1.27 goals / match - Lecce
Como scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Lecce keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).
Lecce scores in 46% of matches (12 of 26 matches), while Como keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Como
Over / Under - Lecce
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Como is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.65 pts / match - Como · 1.15 pts / match - Lecce
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Como - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Lecce - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Como
Lecce
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Como | Liga | Lecce | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.31 | 2.41 | ▼ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▼ 31% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 32% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 65% | 64% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 77% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Como 1 - 0 - 0 Lecce. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Como vs Lecce?
The Serie A match finished Como 3:1 Lecce. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Como vs Lecce?
Como score 1.58 goals per game on average and Lecce 0.65. The Serie A average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Como's matches and 31% of Lecce's.
What form are Como and Lecce in?
Over the last 5 games Como have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Lecce 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Como vs Lecce?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Como vs Lecce: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.