Como vs Roma: match statistics
Como presents an impressive home form with a 50% win rate and only a 14% defeat rate at their own stadium, averaging 1.71 goals per match with a very low average of conceded goals (0.71). The hosts are in excellent shape with a streak of three wins and two draws in their last five fixtures, earning an average of 2.2 points per match. Roma is struggling in away games, losing as much as 43% of their matches and scoring an average of only 1.14 goals, and their recent form (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss) is noticeably weaker than Como's. Furthermore, Roma has negative xG stats on the road (1.37 xG For vs 1.27 xG Against), which suggests difficulties in creating chances. Como's high ball possession (64%) and home efficiency strongly advocate for a home win, although Roma's experience and their 50% away win rate mean an upset cannot be ruled out.
Como vs Roma: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Como played Roma in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Como: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Roma: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Como scores 1.64 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Roma scores 1.36 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Como 43%, Roma 32%. Over 2.5: Como 43%, Roma 32%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Roma has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.57. Como: 14.0 shots per match, Roma: 13.5.
Match halves
Como: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.93. Roma: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Como: 76-90+ (11 goals). Roma: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Como presents an impressive home form with a 50% win rate and only a 14% defeat rate at their own stadium, averaging 1.71 goals per match with a very low average of conceded goals (0.71). The hosts are in excellent shape with a streak of three wins and two draws in their last five fixtures, earning an average of 2.2 points per match. Roma is struggling in away games, losing as much as 43% of their matches and scoring an average of only 1.14 goals, and their recent form (1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss) is noticeably weaker than Como's. Furthermore, Roma has negative xG stats on the road (1.37 xG For vs 1.27 xG Against), which suggests difficulties in creating chances. Como's high ball possession (64%) and home efficiency strongly advocate for a home win, although Roma's experience and their 50% away win rate mean an upset cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Como | Roma | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Como is 25% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Como · 1.6 pts / match - Roma
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Como is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Como · 1.36 goals / match - Roma
Como scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Roma keeps a clean sheet in 43% (12 of 28 matches).
Roma scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Como keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Como
Over / Under - Roma
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Como is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.75 pts / match - Como · 1.61 pts / match - Roma
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Como - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Roma - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Como
Roma
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Como | Liga | Roma | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.39 | 2.44 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 46% | 31% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 65% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 77% | ▼ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Como 0 - 0 - 1 Roma. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Como vs Roma?
The Serie A match finished Como 2:1 Roma. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Como vs Roma?
Como score 1.64 goals per game on average and Roma 1.36. The Serie A average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Como's matches and 32% of Roma's.
What form are Como and Roma in?
Over the last 5 games Como have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Roma 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Como vs Roma?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.