Correcaminos UAT vs Cancún: match statistics
Correcaminos UAT vs Cancún: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Correcaminos UAT play Cancún in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Correcaminos UAT: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Cancún: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Correcaminos UAT scores 1.07 and concedes 2.21 goals per match. Cancún scores 1.62 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Correcaminos UAT 71%, Cancún 59%. Over 2.5: Correcaminos UAT 68%, Cancún 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Cancún has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.15. Correcaminos UAT: 9.1 shots per match, Cancún: 11.3.
Match halves
Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.71. Cancún: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (10 goals). Cancún: 31-45+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The favorites are the visitors, Cancún: they have 13 wins and 44 goals this season versus Correcaminos’ 5 wins and 27 goals, clearly indicating superiority in points return and efficiency. The biggest gap is in defense — Cancún concedes 1.15 goals on average away with 31% clean sheets, while the hosts concede 2.08 at home and have only 8% clean sheets. Offensively both teams are similar: Correcaminos score 1.25 goals at home with xG 1.27 from 10 shots (4.08 on target), and Cancún away score 1.23 with xG 1.11 from 9.46 shots, so the visitors’ edge stems more from defensive organization than from chance creation. Additionally Correcaminos concede more than their xG suggests (avg xG against 1.6 vs actual 2.08 conceded), while Cancún have xG against 2.02 but concede only 1.15, indicating superior defensive efficiency for the visitors. Considering the higher away win rate for the visitors (46% vs 25% home wins) and the better goal differential (+1 vs -10), I back an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Correcaminos UAT | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cancún is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.07 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.62 goals / match - Cancún
Cancún is 135% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.21 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 0.94 goals / match - Cancún
Correcaminos UAT scores in 82% of matches (23 of 28 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
Cancún scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Correcaminos UAT
Over / Under — Cancún
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cancún is 270% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.54 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 2 pts / match - Cancún
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Correcaminos UAT - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cancún - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Correcaminos UAT
Cancún
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Correcaminos UAT | Liga | Cancún | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 25% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Correcaminos UAT 0 - 0 - 1 Cancún. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Correcaminos UAT vs Cancún?
The Ascenso MX match finished Correcaminos UAT 1:3 Cancún. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Cancún?
Correcaminos UAT score 1.07 goals per game on average and Cancún 1.62. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 59% of Cancún's.
What form are Correcaminos UAT and Cancún in?
Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Cancún 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Cancún?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Correcaminos UAT vs Cancún: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.