Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Olímpico Ing. Marte R. GómezData current as of 15 October 2026

Correcaminos UAT vs Dorados: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Correcaminos UAT vs Dorados: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Correcaminos UAT play Dorados in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Ing. Marte R. Gómez.

Current form

Correcaminos UAT: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Dorados: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Correcaminos UAT scores 1.67 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Dorados scores 1.75 and concedes 1.92. League average: 3.26 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Correcaminos UAT 75%, Dorados 75%. Over 2.5: Correcaminos UAT 75%, Dorados 58%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Dorados has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.56. Correcaminos UAT: 14.2 shots per match, Dorados: 14.1.

Match halves

Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00. Dorados: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Correcaminos UAT: 16-30 (6 goals). Dorados: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.26 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.58)
(4.10)
(4.60)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Correcaminos UATDorados
1.67Goals scored / match1.75
Correcaminos UATDorados
1.67Goals conceded / match1.92
Correcaminos UATDorados
50%Average possession48%
Correcaminos UATDorados
4.58Shots on target / match5.5
Correcaminos UATDorados

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.17Shots per match14.08
Correcaminos UATDorados
4.58Shots on target5.5
Correcaminos UATDorados
11.8%Shot conversion12.4%
Correcaminos UATDorados
50%Possession48%
Correcaminos UATDorados
1.56xG for1.68
Correcaminos UATDorados
1.6xG against1.69
Correcaminos UATDorados

Shooting quality

Correcaminos UAT: AttackingDorados: Attacking
Correcaminos UATDorados
Accuracy (shots on target)32%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Correcaminos UAT is 150% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 0.4 pts / match - Dorados

Correcaminos UAT
DLWDL
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-4
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
LDDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Dorados
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
25% W33% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-5
1.08 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dorados is 5% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.75 goals / match - Dorados

Correcaminos UAT is 15% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.92 goals / match - Dorados

Correcaminos UAT scoring profile: very strong

Correcaminos UAT scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Dorados keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 12 matches).

Dorados scoring profile: very strong

Dorados scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

20Goals scored (season)21
Correcaminos UATDorados
20Goals conceded (season)23
Correcaminos UATDorados
3.33Average goals in match3.67
Correcaminos UATDorados
5Goals scored (last 5)6
Correcaminos UATDorados
7Goals conceded (last 5)12
Correcaminos UATDorados

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal83%
Correcaminos UATDorados
50%2 goals58%
Correcaminos UATDorados
33%3 goals25%
Correcaminos UATDorados
0%4 goals8%
Correcaminos UATDorados

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal92%
Correcaminos UATDorados
50%2 goals42%
Correcaminos UATDorados
33%3 goals25%
Correcaminos UATDorados
8%4 goals17%
Correcaminos UATDorados

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

42%BTTS at half-time25%
Correcaminos UATDorados
17%BTTS in both halves0%
Correcaminos UATDorados
33%Scored in both halves17%
Correcaminos UATDorados

BTTS and goal count

75%Min. 3 goals and BTTS58%
Correcaminos UATDorados
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Correcaminos UATDorados
60%BTTS - last 580%
Correcaminos UATDorados

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
Correcaminos UATDorados
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time58%
Correcaminos UATDorados
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Correcaminos UATDorados

2nd half

83%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Correcaminos UATDorados
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
Correcaminos UATDorados
42%Min. 3 goals after half-time17%
Correcaminos UATDorados

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Correcaminos UAT is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.08 pts / match - Dorados

Correcaminos UAT - half-time state
25% leading58% draw17% trailing
Dorados - half-time state
25% leading33% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.08
Correcaminos UATDorados
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Correcaminos UATDorados
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)1.08
Correcaminos UATDorados
1.25Average goals (1st half)1.83
Correcaminos UATDorados
42%Clean sheet before half-time33%
Correcaminos UATDorados
50%No goal before half-time58%
Correcaminos UATDorados

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.42
Correcaminos UATDorados
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
Correcaminos UATDorados
1.08Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Correcaminos UATDorados
2.08Average goals (2nd half)1.83
Correcaminos UATDorados
42%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Correcaminos UATDorados
33%No goal after half-time42%
Correcaminos UATDorados

Correcaminos UAT - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dorados - second-half results

33% W42% D25% L
13
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Correcaminos UAT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal40%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Dorados - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.60
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match1.01.4
Average goals in match1.22.4
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%0%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Correcaminos UAT
ScoredConceded
0
3
0-15
6
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
1
46-60
4
5
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Dorados
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
1
2
16-30
6
6
31-45
0
2
46-60
4
3
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
75%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Correcaminos UAT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.07
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
84%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
131%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Dorados

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.68
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Correcaminos UATLigaDorados
Average goals in match• 3.333.26▲ 3.67
Both teams scored▲ 75%59%▲ 75%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 75%61%▼ 58%
Clean sheets▲ 25%23%▼ 8%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%74%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▲ 83%81%▲ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.26
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.99
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+57%
Home attack advantage
+36%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
35%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Correcaminos UAT 1 - 0 - 1 Dorados. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa
2 : 1
Correcaminos UAT
Correcaminos UAT
1 : 0
CSyD Dorados de Sinaloa

FAQ

When do Correcaminos UAT and Dorados play?

Correcaminos UAT face Dorados on 17 October 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Olímpico Ing. Marte R. Gómez. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Correcaminos UAT and Dorados?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Correcaminos UAT won 1, Dorados won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Dorados?

Correcaminos UAT score 1.67 goals per game on average and Dorados 1.75. The Ascenso MX average is 3.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 75% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 75% of Dorados's.

What form are Correcaminos UAT and Dorados in?

Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Dorados 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Dorados?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Correcaminos UAT vs Dorados: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.