Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Olímpico Ing. Marte R. GómezData current as of 13 August 2026

Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Correcaminos UAT play Tapatío in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 15 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Ing. Marte R. Gómez.

Current form

Correcaminos UAT: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Tapatío: 1-1-1, 1.33 points/match.

Goal statistics

Correcaminos UAT scores 3.00 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Tapatío scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.04 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Correcaminos UAT 100%, Tapatío 33%. Over 2.5: Correcaminos UAT 100%, Tapatío 33%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Correcaminos UAT has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.28. Correcaminos UAT: 13.3 shots per match, Tapatío: 12.7.

Match halves

Correcaminos UAT: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 2.00. Tapatío: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Correcaminos UAT: 76-90+ (4 goals). Tapatío: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.86)
(3.50)
(3.70)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Correcaminos UATTapatío
3Goals scored / match1
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1.67Goals conceded / match1
Correcaminos UATTapatío
41%Average possession47%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
6Shots on target / match2.33
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.33Shots per match12.67
Correcaminos UATTapatío
6Shots on target2.33
Correcaminos UATTapatío
22.5%Shot conversion7.9%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
41%Possession47%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1.64xG for1.28
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1.89xG against1.63
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Shooting quality

Correcaminos UAT: Counter-attackingTapatío: Balanced
Correcaminos UATTapatío
Accuracy (shots on target)45%18%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.500.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Correcaminos UAT is 75% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1.33 pts / match - Tapatío

Correcaminos UAT
DWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 at home
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.7xG: 1.64Opponent xG: 1.89BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Tapatío
DWL
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-1
1.33 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Correcaminos UAT is 200% better for: goals scored per match.

3 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1 goals / match - Tapatío

Tapatío is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Correcaminos UAT · 1 goals / match - Tapatío

Correcaminos UAT scoring profile: strong

Correcaminos UAT scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Tapatío keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).

Tapatío scoring profile: very strong

Tapatío scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Correcaminos UAT keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).

9Goals scored (season)3
Correcaminos UATTapatío
5Goals conceded (season)3
Correcaminos UATTapatío
4.67Average goals in match2
Correcaminos UATTapatío
9Goals scored (last 5)3
Correcaminos UATTapatío
5Goals conceded (last 5)3
Correcaminos UATTapatío

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal67%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
100%2 goals33%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
100%3 goals0%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0%4 goals0%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal33%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
33%2 goals33%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
33%3 goals33%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0%4 goals0%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

43%
League average

Goal patterns

67%BTTS at half-time0%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
33%BTTS in both halves0%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
67%Scored in both halves0%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

BTTS and goal count

100%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
100%BTTS - last 533%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
67%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
67%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Correcaminos UAT - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Tapatío - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.33
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Correcaminos UATTapatío
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Correcaminos UATTapatío
2Average goals (1st half)0.67
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
33%No goal before half-time67%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)1
Correcaminos UATTapatío
2Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Correcaminos UATTapatío
2.67Average goals (2nd half)1.33
Correcaminos UATTapatío
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
Correcaminos UATTapatío
0%No goal after half-time67%
Correcaminos UATTapatío

Correcaminos UAT - second-half results

67% W33% R0% P
4
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Tapatío - second-half results

0% W100% R0% P
4
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Correcaminos UAT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.332.33
Goals scored / match1.02.0
Goals conceded / match1.00.7
Average goals in match2.02.7
1 goal100%100%
2 goals67%67%
3 goals33%67%
Clean sheet0%67%
No goal33%0%
Goal difference0+4
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 67% - Half-time goals total: 3
Tapatío - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.331.00
Goals scored / match0.30.7
Goals conceded / match0.30.7
Average goals in match0.71.3
1 goal67%33%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal67%67%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 33% leading - 33% draw - 33% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 100% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Correcaminos UAT
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Tapatío
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
2
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Correcaminos UAT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+1.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
203%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

Tapatío

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.35
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.63
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
64%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
68%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

Correcaminos UATLigaTapatío
Average goals in match 4.673.04 2.00
Both teams scored 100%43% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 100%57% 33%
Clean sheets 0%33% 67%
Goal before half-time 100%65% 67%
Goal after half-time 100%74% 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.04
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
33%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.57
Away goals / match
+-6%
Home attack advantage
+-6%
Home defence advantage
+0%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
48%
3 goals
17%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Correcaminos UAT 0 - 2 - 0 Tapatío. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Correcaminos UAT
2 : 2
CD Tapatío
CD Tapatío
2 : 2
Correcaminos UAT

FAQ

When do Correcaminos UAT and Tapatío play?

Correcaminos UAT face Tapatío on 15 August 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Olímpico Ing. Marte R. Gómez. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Correcaminos UAT and Tapatío?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Correcaminos UAT won 0, Tapatío won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío?

Correcaminos UAT score 3.00 goals per game on average and Tapatío 1.00. The Ascenso MX average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Correcaminos UAT's matches and 33% of Tapatío's.

What form are Correcaminos UAT and Tapatío in?

Over the last 5 games Correcaminos UAT have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Tapatío 1-1-1 (1.33 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Correcaminos UAT vs Tapatío?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.