Cove Rangers vs Hamilton Academical: match statistics
Hamilton Academical appear to be the favorites in this match despite playing away. The visitors have a significantly better goal-scoring record in away matches (1.64 goals per game) compared to just 0.93 goals scored by Cove Rangers at home. Hamilton have a positive goal difference away from home (+3), while the hosts have a negative goal difference in home matches (-3). Cove Rangers lose as many as 43% of their home games and fail to score in half of their home matches, which is an alarming statistic. Despite Hamilton's recent poorer form (0.8 points per game in their last 5 matches), their overall league position (4th place) and better offensive statistics speak in their favor. Hamilton's higher shot conversion rate (16% vs 9%) and better average xG suggest greater efficiency from the visitors in finishing attacks.
Cove Rangers vs Hamilton Academical: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cove Rangers played Hamilton Academical in League One (Scotland). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Cove Rangers: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Hamilton Academical: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cove Rangers scores 1.10 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Hamilton Academical scores 1.48 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.66 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cove Rangers 45%, Hamilton Academical 38%. Over 2.5: Cove Rangers 45%, Hamilton Academical 55%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Hamilton Academical has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.20. Cove Rangers: 8.9 shots per match, Hamilton Academical: 9.8.
Match halves
Cove Rangers: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.62. Hamilton Academical: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Cove Rangers: 76-90+ (9 goals). Hamilton Academical: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hamilton Academical appear to be the favorites in this match despite playing away. The visitors have a significantly better goal-scoring record in away matches (1.64 goals per game) compared to just 0.93 goals scored by Cove Rangers at home. Hamilton have a positive goal difference away from home (+3), while the hosts have a negative goal difference in home matches (-3). Cove Rangers lose as many as 43% of their home games and fail to score in half of their home matches, which is an alarming statistic. Despite Hamilton's recent poorer form (0.8 points per game in their last 5 matches), their overall league position (4th place) and better offensive statistics speak in their favor. Hamilton's higher shot conversion rate (16% vs 9%) and better average xG suggest greater efficiency from the visitors in finishing attacks.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cove Rangers | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 46% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cove Rangers is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Cove Rangers · 0.8 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hamilton Academical is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Cove Rangers · 1.48 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
Hamilton Academical is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Cove Rangers · 1.14 goals / match - Hamilton Academical
Cove Rangers scores in 55% of matches (16 of 29 matches), while Hamilton Academical keeps a clean sheet in 41% (12 of 29 matches).
Hamilton Academical scores in 69% of matches (20 of 29 matches), while Cove Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cove Rangers
Over / Under - Hamilton Academical
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hamilton Academical is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Cove Rangers · 1.55 pts / match - Hamilton Academical
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cove Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hamilton Academical - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cove Rangers
Hamilton Academical
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Cove Rangers | Liga | Hamilton Academical | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.66 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 45% | 49% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 29% | ▲ 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cove Rangers 1 - 1 - 1 Hamilton Academical. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cove Rangers vs Hamilton Academical?
The League One match finished Cove Rangers 2:2 Hamilton Academical. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cove Rangers and Hamilton Academical?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cove Rangers won 1, Hamilton Academical won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cove Rangers vs Hamilton Academical?
Cove Rangers score 1.10 goals per game on average and Hamilton Academical 1.48. The League One average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Cove Rangers's matches and 38% of Hamilton Academical's.
What form are Cove Rangers and Hamilton Academical in?
Over the last 5 games Cove Rangers have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Hamilton Academical 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cove Rangers vs Hamilton Academical?
The statistical background for Cove Rangers vs Hamilton Academical — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.