Crawley Town vs Swindon Town: match statistics
Swindon Town clearly dominates this matchup in terms of form and quality. The visitors sit in 4th place in the table with a 53% away win rate, while Crawley Town is ranked 21st with just 24% wins at home. The form of the last five matches clearly favors Swindon (1.4 points per game) compared to the hosts' disastrous disposition (0.4 points per game, without a win). Swindon scores an average of 1.53 goals on the road with 5.18 shots on target per match, which outperforms Crawley's offense (1.24 goals at home). The goal difference also favors the visitors (+4 away vs -2 hosts at home). With such a clear qualitative advantage and form, a Swindon Town victory is the most probable scenario.
Crawley Town vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Crawley Town played Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Crawley Town: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Swindon Town: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Crawley Town scores 0.94 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.63 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Crawley Town 49%, Swindon Town 57%. Over 2.5: Crawley Town 49%, Swindon Town 63%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Crawley Town has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.43. Crawley Town: 13.5 shots per match, Swindon Town: 12.6.
Match halves
Crawley Town: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.54. Swindon Town: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Crawley Town: 31-45+ (9 goals). Swindon Town: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town clearly dominates this matchup in terms of form and quality. The visitors sit in 4th place in the table with a 53% away win rate, while Crawley Town is ranked 21st with just 24% wins at home. The form of the last five matches clearly favors Swindon (1.4 points per game) compared to the hosts' disastrous disposition (0.4 points per game, without a win). Swindon scores an average of 1.53 goals on the road with 5.18 shots on target per match, which outperforms Crawley's offense (1.24 goals at home). The goal difference also favors the visitors (+4 away vs -2 hosts at home). With such a clear qualitative advantage and form, a Swindon Town victory is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Crawley Town | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swindon Town is 250% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Crawley Town · 1.4 pts / match - Swindon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 73% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Crawley Town · 1.63 goals / match - Swindon Town
Swindon Town is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Crawley Town · 1.17 goals / match - Swindon Town
Crawley Town scores in 63% of matches (22 of 35 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 matches).
Swindon Town scores in 86% of matches (30 of 35 matches), while Crawley Town keeps a clean sheet in 20% (7 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Crawley Town
Over / Under - Swindon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Crawley Town · 1.34 pts / match - Swindon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Crawley Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Crawley Town
Swindon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Crawley Town | Liga | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.54 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 49% | 53% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 49% | 47% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 27% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | • 69% | 69% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Crawley Town 0 - 0 - 1 Swindon Town. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Crawley Town 2:2 Swindon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
Crawley Town score 0.94 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.63. The EFL League Two average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 49% of Crawley Town's matches and 57% of Swindon Town's.
What form are Crawley Town and Swindon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Crawley Town have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Swindon Town 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crawley Town vs Swindon Town?
The statistical background for Crawley Town vs Swindon Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.