Cremonese vs Fiorentina: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Cremonese presents poor form with only 0.2 points per game in their last 5 matches and hasn't won any of them, however, they play at home, where they have a 46% draw rate this season. Fiorentina is in a similar position in the table (17th place) and also struggles away from home, losing half of their matches (50%) and scoring only 0.86 goals on average. Both teams are characterized by a high FTS% (46% for the hosts, 43% for the visitors) and similar xG values (1.15 vs 1.14), suggesting a marginal advantage in chance creation. Fiorentina has better form over the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), giving them a slight edge, but poor away results and both teams' tendency to draw point to shared points as the most likely scenario.
Cremonese vs Fiorentina: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cremonese played Fiorentina in Serie A (Italy). The match was played on 16 March 2026. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Cremonese: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Fiorentina: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cremonese scores 0.79 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Fiorentina scores 1.07 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.44 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cremonese 43%, Fiorentina 64%. Over 2.5: Cremonese 39%, Fiorentina 61%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Fiorentina has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.05. Cremonese: 9.1 shots per match, Fiorentina: 13.6.
Match halves
Cremonese: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.46. Fiorentina: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Cremonese: 76-90+ (7 goals). Fiorentina: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates even chances for both teams, which speaks in favor of a draw. Cremonese presents poor form with only 0.2 points per game in their last 5 matches and hasn't won any of them, however, they play at home, where they have a 46% draw rate this season. Fiorentina is in a similar position in the table (17th place) and also struggles away from home, losing half of their matches (50%) and scoring only 0.86 goals on average. Both teams are characterized by a high FTS% (46% for the hosts, 43% for the visitors) and similar xG values (1.15 vs 1.14), suggesting a marginal advantage in chance creation. Fiorentina has better form over the last 5 matches (1.4 PPG), giving them a slight edge, but poor away results and both teams' tendency to draw point to shared points as the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cremonese | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fiorentina is 700% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Cremonese · 1.6 pts / match - Fiorentina
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fiorentina is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Cremonese · 1.07 goals / match - Fiorentina
Cremonese is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Cremonese · 1.5 goals / match - Fiorentina
Cremonese scores in 50% of matches (14 of 28 matches), while Fiorentina keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
Fiorentina scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Cremonese keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cremonese
Over / Under - Fiorentina
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cremonese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fiorentina - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cremonese
Fiorentina
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Cremonese | Liga | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.21 | 2.44 | ▲ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 47% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 31% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 65% | • 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 77% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cremonese 0 - 0 - 1 Fiorentina. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cremonese vs Fiorentina?
The Serie A match finished Cremonese 1:4 Fiorentina. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cremonese vs Fiorentina?
Cremonese score 0.79 goals per game on average and Fiorentina 1.07. The Serie A average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cremonese's matches and 64% of Fiorentina's.
What form are Cremonese and Fiorentina in?
Over the last 5 games Cremonese have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Fiorentina 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cremonese vs Fiorentina?
The statistical background for Cremonese vs Fiorentina — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.