Crusaders vs Larne: match statistics
Larne sit top of the table with an impressive record of 18 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 losses, while Crusaders are in 11th place with a negative 7-3-15 record. The visitors' form is clearly superior – in their last 5 matches, they have averaged 2.2 points per game with a 9:2 goal difference, whereas the hosts have managed only 0.8 points per game and a 5:12 goal difference. Larne boasts a solid away defense, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 42% of matches, which contrasts sharply with Crusaders' fragile home defense that leaks an average of 2.08 goals per game. Furthermore, the hosts have failed to win any of their last 5 home matches and have lost 67% of their fixtures in front of their own fans. All these factors point to a clear advantage for Larne, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to Crusaders' home advantage.
Crusaders vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Crusaders played Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Crusaders: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Larne: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Crusaders scores 1.24 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Larne scores 1.72 and concedes 0.44. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Crusaders 48%, Larne 32%. Over 2.5: Crusaders 64%, Larne 40%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.21. Crusaders: 10.0 shots per match, Larne: 13.2.
Match halves
Crusaders: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.56. Larne: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Crusaders: 31-45+ (7 goals). Larne: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Larne sit top of the table with an impressive record of 18 wins, 5 draws, and just 2 losses, while Crusaders are in 11th place with a negative 7-3-15 record. The visitors' form is clearly superior – in their last 5 matches, they have averaged 2.2 points per game with a 9:2 goal difference, whereas the hosts have managed only 0.8 points per game and a 5:12 goal difference. Larne boasts a solid away defense, conceding an average of just 0.67 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 42% of matches, which contrasts sharply with Crusaders' fragile home defense that leaks an average of 2.08 goals per game. Furthermore, the hosts have failed to win any of their last 5 home matches and have lost 67% of their fixtures in front of their own fans. All these factors point to a clear advantage for Larne, although a draw cannot be entirely ruled out due to Crusaders' home advantage.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Crusaders | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 57% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Crusaders · 2.2 pts / match - Larne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Crusaders · 1.72 goals / match - Larne
Larne is 355% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Crusaders · 0.44 goals / match - Larne
Crusaders scores in 60% of matches (15 of 25 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 60% (15 of 25 matches).
Larne scores in 80% of matches (20 of 25 matches), while Crusaders keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Crusaders
Over / Under - Larne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Crusaders · 1.76 pts / match - Larne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Crusaders - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 28%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Crusaders
Larne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Crusaders | Liga | Larne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.24 | 2.77 | ▼ 2.16 |
| Both teams scored | • 48% | 49% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 64% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 28% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 92% | 75% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Crusaders 0 - 0 - 2 Larne. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Crusaders vs Larne?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Crusaders 2:4 Larne. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Crusaders and Larne?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Crusaders won 0, Larne won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Crusaders vs Larne?
Crusaders score 1.24 goals per game on average and Larne 1.72. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Crusaders's matches and 32% of Larne's.
What form are Crusaders and Larne in?
Over the last 5 games Crusaders have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Larne 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crusaders vs Larne?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.