Cruz Azul vs Toluca: match statistics
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Cruz Azul vs Toluca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cruz Azul play Toluca in Liga MX (Mexico). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Banorte.
Current form
Cruz Azul: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Toluca: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cruz Azul scores 1.78 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Toluca scores 2.22 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cruz Azul 67%, Toluca 56%. Over 2.5: Cruz Azul 67%, Toluca 67%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Cruz Azul has higher xG: 2.13 vs 1.87. Cruz Azul: 19.4 shots per match, Toluca: 17.9.
Match halves
Cruz Azul: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 1.11. Toluca: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Cruz Azul: 76-90+ (5 goals). Toluca: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga MX: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cruz Azul | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Toluca is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Cruz Azul · 2.4 pts / match - Toluca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Toluca is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.78 goals / match - Cruz Azul · 2.22 goals / match - Toluca
Toluca is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Cruz Azul · 1 goals / match - Toluca
Cruz Azul scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Toluca keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
Toluca scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Cruz Azul keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cruz Azul
Over / Under - Toluca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Toluca is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Cruz Azul · 2.33 pts / match - Toluca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cruz Azul - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Toluca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cruz Azul
Toluca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga MX).
Teams vs league
| Cruz Azul | Liga | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 57% | • 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 52% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 25% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 66% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cruz Azul 1 - 1 - 0 Toluca. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Cruz Azul and Toluca play?
Cruz Azul face Toluca on 26 September 2026 in Liga MX at Estadio Banorte. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cruz Azul and Toluca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cruz Azul won 1, Toluca won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
Cruz Azul score 1.78 goals per game on average and Toluca 2.22. The Liga MX average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Cruz Azul's matches and 56% of Toluca's.
What form are Cruz Azul and Toluca in?
Over the last 5 games Cruz Azul have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Toluca 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cruz Azul vs Toluca?
The statistical background for Cruz Azul vs Toluca — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.