Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: match statistics
Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Crystal Palace played Nottingham Forest in Premier League (England). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Selhurst Park. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Crystal Palace: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Nottingham Forest: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Crystal Palace scores 1.20 and concedes 2.20 goals per match. Nottingham Forest scores 0.80 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Crystal Palace 60%, Nottingham Forest 40%. Over 2.5: Crystal Palace 60%, Nottingham Forest 40%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Nottingham Forest has higher xG: 1.61 vs 1.20. Crystal Palace: 10.6 shots per match, Nottingham Forest: 16.4.
Match halves
Crystal Palace: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.80. Nottingham Forest: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Crystal Palace: 46-60 (2 goals). Nottingham Forest: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nottingham Forest are more likely to win: they have collected 4 points from their two away matches so far, while Crystal Palace have lost both of their home games. The visitors average 17 shots per away match, including 5 on target, compared with the hosts’ home averages of 10 shots and 2.5 on target. Nottingham also have the edge in chance quality: their away xG stands at 1.66, while Crystal Palace average 1.07 at home; the hosts also allow opponents chances worth 1.91 xG per match. Palace’s defence concedes an average of 3.5 goals at home, although the team have earned 7 points from their last five matches, compared with Nottingham’s 5. The visitors’ away statistics give them a clear advantage, but they are based on a sample of just two matches, so a draw remains a realistic possibility.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from Crystal Palace’s home matches: the hosts are yet to score in them, and the percentage of games featuring goals from both sides is 0%. Nottingham Forest average 2.0 goals scored away from home but concede 1.5, so the visitors’ statistics alone would favor BTTS - Yes. However, Palace have an average home xG of 1.59 and take 16 shots per match, suggesting their failure to score may not continue. Even so, both teams scored in just 20% and 40% of their respective last five matches, making it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Crystal Palace have not scored in their matches at home so far, but they are averaging 1.59 xG, so their lack of goals may not reflect the number of chances they are creating. Nottingham Forest average 2.0 goals away from home, while Palace concede 0.67 goals per home match, which points to an away goal. The picture is mixed: none of Palace’s home matches so far has gone over 1.5 goals, whereas all of Forest’s away matches have gone over 2.5. Across their last five matches, regardless of venue, Palace games have averaged 2.8 goals and Forest games 2.0; with 2.75 expected goals in total, Over 1.5 offers a clearer signal than the riskier Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Crystal Palace were level at the break in all 3 of their home matches so far, while Nottingham Forest were level in 4 of their last 5 matches overall. The case for a later away win is supported by venue-specific results: Forest have averaged 1.5 goals in the second half away from home, while Palace have yet to score a second-half goal at home. The hosts have won none of their 3 home matches, whereas the visitors have lost none of their 2 away games. However, the signal is not clear-cut: across their last 5 matches overall, Palace have averaged 1.8 goals compared with Forest's 0.8, and Palace's home xG stands at 1.59. Despite this countervailing evidence, the combination of frequent half-time draws and Forest's advantage in the second half away from home so far points to an X/2 scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Crystal Palace | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 21% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nottingham Forest is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Crystal Palace · 1 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crystal Palace is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Crystal Palace · 0.8 goals / match - Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.2 goals / match - Crystal Palace · 1 goals / match - Nottingham Forest
Crystal Palace scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Nottingham Forest keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Nottingham Forest scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Crystal Palace keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Crystal Palace
Over / Under - Nottingham Forest
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nottingham Forest is 600% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.2 pts / match - Crystal Palace · 1.4 pts / match - Nottingham Forest
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Crystal Palace - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nottingham Forest - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Crystal Palace | Liga | Nottingham Forest | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.40 | 2.88 | ▼ 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 54% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 59% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 82% | ▼ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Crystal Palace 0 - 2 - 0 Nottingham Forest. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
The Premier League match finished Crystal Palace 3:1 Nottingham Forest. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Crystal Palace won 0, Nottingham Forest won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Crystal Palace score 1.20 goals per game on average and Nottingham Forest 0.80. The Premier League average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Crystal Palace's matches and 40% of Nottingham Forest's.
What form are Crystal Palace and Nottingham Forest in?
Over the last 5 games Crystal Palace have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Nottingham Forest 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Crystal Palace vs Nottingham Forest: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.