CSKA Sofia vs Arda: match statistics
CSKA Sofia vs Arda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CSKA Sofia played Arda in First League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 12 September 2026. Venue: Stadion Bâlgarska Armija. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
CSKA Sofia: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Arda: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
CSKA Sofia scores 2.43 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Arda scores 1.63 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CSKA Sofia 57%, Arda 50%. Over 2.5: CSKA Sofia 71%, Arda 38%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
CSKA Sofia has higher xG: 2.21 vs 1.48. CSKA Sofia: 14.9 shots per match, Arda: 10.0.
Match halves
CSKA Sofia: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.29. Arda: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
CSKA Sofia: 76-90+ (6 goals). Arda: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
CSKA Sofia have been perfect at home, winning all 4 matches so far and scoring an average of 3.25 goals per game. The hosts create significantly more in the final third: their average xG stands at 2.17 compared with Arda’s 1.28, while they average 8.0 shots on target per match versus 4.25 for the visitors. Arda arrive in good form, however, with 4 wins in their last 5 matches and just 4 goals conceded during that period, so they will not be easy opponents. The visitors’ away defence has been solid, conceding an average of 0.75 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of matches, but CSKA have a significantly greater possession advantage, 63% to 57%, as well as superior shot conversion, 24% to 13%. CSKA’s recent overall results have been less consistent, but the strength of their home attack points towards a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have recorded BTTS in 50% of their matches this season, but over their last five games, this figure has dropped to 40% for each side, below the league average of 56%. CSKA Sofia and Arda have kept a clean sheet in 50% of their matches, which significantly increases the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score. Arda concede only 0.75 goals per match on average and have allowed opponents just 0.8 goals per game over their last five fixtures, with an xG against of 1.20. CSKA are an attacking threat, averaging 2.0 goals and 1.69 xG, but their opponents also boast a solid defence. Therefore, BTTS - No is more likely than Goal/Goal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
CSKA Sofia score an average of 2.00 goals at home, while Arda concede just 0.75 goals away, suggesting a home advantage but not necessarily a very high-scoring game. Both teams have exceeded the 1.5-goal line in 75% of their matches this season, and neither has finished a game without scoring. Their attacking potential is supported by xG: the hosts create chances worth an average of 1.69 goals, while the visitors average 1.28, with a combined projected total of 2.70 goals. In their last five matches, CSKA generated as much as 2.05 xG, while Arda scored 10 goals, giving the scenario of at least two goals solid foundations. At the same time, Arda have had Under 3.5 goals in 100% of their matches this season, which is why the safer Over 1.5 option is rated more highly than aggressive goal lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point, as both CSKA Sofia and Arda have been level at the break in 50% of their matches so far, while conceding an average of just 0.50 and 0.25 goals respectively during that period. After the interval, the advantage should shift towards the hosts: CSKA average 1.50 goals in second halves, compared with Arda’s 0.50. CSKA also possess greater offensive potential across the match as a whole, averaging 2.00 goals, an xG of 1.69 and 6.50 shots on target per game, compared with Arda’s 1.25 goals, 1.28 xG and 4.25 shots on target. The hosts have won 75% of their matches this season and collect 2.25 points per game, although Arda’s strong current run must also be taken into account, having won 4 of their last 5 outings. The strongest scenario is therefore a balanced, cautious first half, followed by a CSKA Sofia victory driven by greater efficiency after the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CSKA Sofia | Arda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 52% | 54% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CSKA Sofia is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 2.4 pts / match - Arda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CSKA Sofia is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
2.43 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 1.63 goals / match - Arda
CSKA Sofia is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - CSKA Sofia · 0.88 goals / match - Arda
CSKA Sofia scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Arda keeps a clean sheet in 50% (4 of 8 matches).
Arda scores in 100% of matches (8 of 8 matches), while CSKA Sofia keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CSKA Sofia
Over / Under - Arda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CSKA Sofia is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - CSKA Sofia · 1.63 pts / match - Arda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CSKA Sofia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CSKA Sofia
Arda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| CSKA Sofia | Liga | Arda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.14 | 2.75 | ▼ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | • 57% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 54% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 22% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 68% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 82% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): CSKA Sofia 1 - 0 - 1 Arda. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
The First League match finished CSKA Sofia 4:1 Arda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CSKA Sofia and Arda?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches CSKA Sofia won 1, Arda won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
CSKA Sofia score 2.43 goals per game on average and Arda 1.63. The First League average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 57% of CSKA Sofia's matches and 50% of Arda's.
What form are CSKA Sofia and Arda in?
Over the last 5 games CSKA Sofia have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Arda 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CSKA Sofia vs Arda?
The statistical background for CSKA Sofia vs Arda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.