Cumbayá vs CD El Nacional: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Cumbayá vs CD El Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cumbayá play CD El Nacional in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 21 October 2026.
Current form
Cumbayá: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. CD El Nacional: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cumbayá scores 1.37 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. CD El Nacional scores 0.87 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cumbayá 43%, CD El Nacional 50%. Over 2.5: Cumbayá 47%, CD El Nacional 47%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
CD El Nacional has higher xG: 1.33 vs 1.27. Cumbayá: 8.5 shots per match, CD El Nacional: 10.4.
Match halves
Cumbayá: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.57. CD El Nacional: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Cumbayá: 31-45+ (10 goals). CD El Nacional: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 2.33, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cumbayá | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cumbayá is 67% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Cumbayá · 1.2 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cumbayá is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Cumbayá · 0.87 goals / match - CD El Nacional
Cumbayá is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Cumbayá · 1.57 goals / match - CD El Nacional
Cumbayá scores in 60% of matches (18 of 30 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 30 matches).
CD El Nacional scores in 57% of matches (17 of 30 matches), while Cumbayá keeps a clean sheet in 37% (11 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cumbayá
Over / Under - CD El Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cumbayá is 104% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Cumbayá · 0.77 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cumbayá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 27%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 2.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +11 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cumbayá
CD El Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Cumbayá | Liga | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.40 | 2.05 | ▲ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 36% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 34% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 37% | 40% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 58% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | • 60% | 60% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cumbayá 3 - 0 - 0 CD El Nacional. Average goals 2.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Cumbayá and CD El Nacional play?
Cumbayá face CD El Nacional on 21 October 2026 in Primera Categoría Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cumbayá and CD El Nacional?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cumbayá won 3, CD El Nacional won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cumbayá vs CD El Nacional?
Cumbayá score 1.37 goals per game on average and CD El Nacional 0.87. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cumbayá's matches and 50% of CD El Nacional's.
What form are Cumbayá and CD El Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Cumbayá have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and CD El Nacional 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cumbayá vs CD El Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.