Cuniburo vs LDU Portoviejo: match statistics

Cuniburo have a clear home advantage: they win 50% of their home matches, while LDU Portoviejo win just 10% of their away games and lose as many as 80% of them. The hosts average 1.7 goals at home with an xG of 1.58, whereas the visitors score just 0.7 goals away from home and fail to find the net in 50% of their appearances. Cuniburo concede only 0.8 goals per home match and keep a clean sheet in 40% of games, while LDU Portoviejo allow opponents to score an average of 1.8 goals and have kept a clean sheet in just 10% of matches. The difference is also reflected in the quality of chances created: Cuniburo average 13.1 shots and 4.9 shots on target per match, compared with 9.78 shots and 3.11 shots on target for the visitors. Both teams come into this match after a poor run of form, but Cuniburo’s 2 wins in their last 5 matches look more encouraging than LDU Portoviejo’s 4 defeats over the same period.

BTTS - No is supported by LDU Portoviejo’s poor attacking output. They have scored just 1 goal in their last 5 matches, averaging 0.2 per game. The visitors have failed to score in 50% of their matches this season, while Cuniburo have kept a clean sheet in 56% of their games and concede only 0.44 goals per match on average. BTTS has occurred in just 33% of Cuniburo’s matches and 40% of LDU’s games, compared with 37% across the league, while Portoviejo have recorded no Goal/Goal results in their last five matches. The hosts create more chances, with an average xG of 1.51 and 4.44 shots on target per game, so they may exploit a weak opposition defence conceding 1.80 goals on average, but this does not necessarily mean the visitors will score. The league’s low average of 1.86 goals further strengthens the scenario in which at least one team fails to find the net.

Cuniburo have a solid chance of scoring, as they create an average of 1.51 xG, while LDU Portoviejo allow opponents 1.46 xG and concede an average of 1.80 goals per match. At the same time, the visitors are very limited offensively: they score an average of 0.70 goals per season and just 0.20 over their last five matches, while the hosts concede only 0.44 goals per match. The low goal potential is also confirmed by Over 2.5 goals results, which have occurred in only 11% of Cuniburo matches and 40% of LDU Portoviejo games. The 3.5-goal line has not been exceeded in 100% of the hosts’ matches and 80% of the visitors’ fixtures, representing a significantly stronger signal than the arguments in favor of a high-scoring game. The projected total of 1.90 goals points to a 1:0, 2:0 or 1:1 scenario, making Under 3.5 the best choice.

The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Cuniburo win, as the hosts were level at the break in 78% of their matches and did not concede a single goal during that period. LDU Portoviejo were trailing at half-time in 80% of their games, conceding an average of 1.1 goals before the break; however, Cuniburo’s weaker early-match attacking output, at just 0.22 goals, increases the likelihood of a goalless draw. Across the season, the hosts won 56% of their matches and lost just 11%, while the visitors suffered defeat in 80% of their appearances. Cuniburo’s advantage is also evident defensively: they concede an average of 0.44 goals per match compared with Portoviejo’s 1.8, while their average xG stands at 1.51 against 1.46 xG conceded by their opponents. After half-time, the hosts score an average of 0.67 goals, whereas the visitors average just 0.3, supporting a turnaround from the half-time draw and a Cuniburo win at full-time.