Poland - 3 Liga Group 4Data current as of 17 October 2026

Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Czarni Połaniec play Chełmianka Chełm in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

Czarni Połaniec: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Chełmianka Chełm: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Czarni Połaniec scores 1.50 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Chełmianka Chełm scores 1.67 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.94 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Czarni Połaniec 50%, Chełmianka Chełm 42%. Over 2.5: Czarni Połaniec 42%, Chełmianka Chełm 42%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Chełmianka Chełm has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.68. Czarni Połaniec: 7.1 shots per match, Chełmianka Chełm: 1.7.

Match halves

Czarni Połaniec: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.83. Chełmianka Chełm: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Czarni Połaniec: 0-15 (4 goals). Chełmianka Chełm: 0-15 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 4: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.00)
(3.75)
(2.00)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
1.5Goals scored / match1.67
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
1.42Goals conceded / match0.5
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
24%Average possession8%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
2.25Shots on target / match0.17
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.08Shots per match1.67
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
2.25Shots on target0.17
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
21.2%Shot conversion100%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
24%Possession8%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
1.68xG for1.7
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
1.3xG against1.52
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

Shooting quality

Czarni Połaniec: Counter-attackingChełmianka Chełm: Counter-attacking
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
Accuracy (shots on target)32%10%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.241.02
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.679.82

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Chełmianka Chełm is 80% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Czarni Połaniec · 1.8 pts / match - Chełmianka Chełm

Czarni Połaniec
WLDDL
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-2-4
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.92Opponent xG: 1.03BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 40%
Chełmianka Chełm
DDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
75% W25% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-3-0
2.50 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-0
Last 5 away
3-2-0
WWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chełmianka Chełm is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

1.5 goals / match - Czarni Połaniec · 1.67 goals / match - Chełmianka Chełm

Chełmianka Chełm is 184% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.42 goals / match - Czarni Połaniec · 0.5 goals / match - Chełmianka Chełm

Czarni Połaniec scoring profile: mixed

Czarni Połaniec scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Chełmianka Chełm keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).

Chełmianka Chełm scoring profile: very strong

Chełmianka Chełm scores in 92% of matches (11 of 12 matches), while Czarni Połaniec keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

18Goals scored (season)20
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
17Goals conceded (season)6
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
2.92Average goals in match2.17
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
9Goals conceded (last 5)5
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal92%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
42%2 goals67%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
25%3 goals8%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
8%4 goals0%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal42%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
33%2 goals8%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
17%3 goals0%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
8%4 goals0%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

42%
Chełmianka Chełm - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 12 matches
58%
League average

Goal patterns

8%BTTS at half-time17%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
8%BTTS in both halves8%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
25%Scored in both halves17%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
80%BTTS - last 580%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time42%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time33%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chełmianka Chełm is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - Czarni Połaniec · 1.67 pts / match - Chełmianka Chełm

Czarni Połaniec - half-time state
25% leading67% draw8% trailing
Chełmianka Chełm - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1.67
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
0.42Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.17
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
0.75Average goals (1st half)0.92
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
92%Clean sheet before half-time83%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
67%No goal before half-time58%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.33
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
0.83Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
1.67Average goals (2nd half)0.67
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
42%Clean sheet after half-time75%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm
42%No goal after half-time67%
Czarni PołaniecChełmianka Chełm

Czarni Połaniec - second-half results

25% W58% D17% L
17
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Chełmianka Chełm - second-half results

17% W83% D0% L
20
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding227%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Czarni Połaniec - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal20%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%0%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-30
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Chełmianka Chełm - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Czarni Połaniec
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
0
0
16-30
4
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
3
1
61-75
4
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Chełmianka Chełm
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
4
0
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
87%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-41%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Czarni Połaniec

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.38
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.12
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Chełmianka Chełm

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.99
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+1.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
30%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 40% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).

Teams vs league

Czarni PołaniecLigaChełmianka Chełm
Average goals in match• 2.922.94▼ 2.17
Both teams scored▼ 50%58%▼ 42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 42%56%▼ 42%
Clean sheets• 25%24%▲ 58%
Goal before half-time▼ 33%60%▼ 42%
Goal after half-time▲ 75%68%▼ 33%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.94
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.66
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+30%
Home attack advantage
+23%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
25%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Czarni Połaniec 0 - 1 - 1 Chełmianka Chełm. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Czarni Połaniec
1 : 1
Chełmianka Chełm
Chełmianka Chełm
1 : 0
Czarni Połaniec

FAQ

When do Czarni Połaniec and Chełmianka Chełm play?

Czarni Połaniec face Chełmianka Chełm on 17 October 2026 in 3 Liga Group 4. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Czarni Połaniec and Chełmianka Chełm?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Czarni Połaniec won 0, Chełmianka Chełm won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm?

Czarni Połaniec score 1.50 goals per game on average and Chełmianka Chełm 1.67. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Czarni Połaniec's matches and 42% of Chełmianka Chełm's.

What form are Czarni Połaniec and Chełmianka Chełm in?

Over the last 5 games Czarni Połaniec have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Chełmianka Chełm 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm?

The statistical background for Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.