Defensor Sporting vs Cerro: match statistics
Defensor Sporting vs Cerro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Defensor Sporting played Cerro in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Luis Franzini. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Defensor Sporting: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Cerro: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Defensor Sporting scores 0.90 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Cerro scores 0.74 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Defensor Sporting 55%, Cerro 42%. Over 2.5: Defensor Sporting 32%, Cerro 39%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Defensor Sporting has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.22. Defensor Sporting: 11.6 shots per match, Cerro: 10.0.
Match halves
Defensor Sporting: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.48. Cerro: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.26.
Goals by minute
Defensor Sporting: 76-90+ (7 goals). Cerro: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 2.60, BTTS 60%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Defensor Sporting have a clear home advantage: they have won 44% of their home matches, while Cerro have lost 63% of their away games. The hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.64, while away from home the visitors allow opponents an xG of 1.76 and concede an average of 2.06 goals per match. Cerro score just 0.75 goals per away game and fail to score in 44% of those matches, limiting their chances of exploiting a home defence that concedes an average of 1.13 goals per game. Neither side has shown consistent form over their last five matches, but Defensor have won two of them, compared with just one for Cerro. Home advantage and Cerro’s weaker away defence point towards a home win, although Defensor’s average of 0.94 goals scored at home calls for caution.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest case for BTTS - No is Cerro’s poor finishing: they average 0.75 goals away from home and have failed to score in 44% of their matches. Defensor concede an average of just 0.80 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 33% of their games, further limiting the visitors’ chances. The hosts are not particularly prolific either, averaging 0.73 goals at home, although Cerro’s average of 2.06 goals conceded away works in their favour. BTTS - Yes has landed in 33% of Defensor’s home matches and 50% of Cerro’s away matches; across the teams’ last five matches, the figures were 40% and 60%, respectively. Despite both sides’ improved attacking form of late, it remains more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in any of Defensor Sporting’s home matches, and in 62% of Cerro’s away matches. The hosts average just 0.73 goals at home, although Cerro’s poor defensive record—conceding 2.06 goals per away game—raises their projected tally to 1.35. The visitors average 0.75 goals away from home, while Defensor concede 0.80 at home, so I project 0.75 goals for Cerro. The total projected goal count of 2.10 supports Under 3.5, despite Cerro’s away matches tending to be higher-scoring than Defensor’s home games.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely outcome: Defensor Sporting went into the break level in 11 of their 15 matches and average just 0.40 goals in first halves. Cerro have lost more often than they have drawn at half-time, but their 44% draw rate at this stage also points to a cautious start. After the break, the advantage should shift to the hosts, as Cerro concede an average of 1.19 goals and score just 0.19 themselves. Defensor’s case for a full-time win is further supported by the difference in their season-long results: the hosts have won 40% of their matches, while Cerro have lost 63% and concede an average of 2.06 goals per game. Defensor’s low second-half scoring average of 0.33 tempers confidence in the pick, but the combination of frequent half-time draws and the visitors’ defensive weakness gives the X/1 scenario the strongest backing.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Defensor Sporting | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Defensor Sporting is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
0.9 goals / match - Defensor Sporting · 0.74 goals / match - Cerro
Defensor Sporting is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Defensor Sporting · 1.45 goals / match - Cerro
Defensor Sporting scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
Cerro scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Defensor Sporting keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Defensor Sporting
Over / Under - Cerro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cerro is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Defensor Sporting · 1.06 pts / match - Cerro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Defensor Sporting - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Defensor Sporting
Cerro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Defensor Sporting | Liga | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.06 | 2.37 | ▼ 2.19 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 51% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 44% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 67% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | • 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Defensor Sporting 3 - 0 - 2 Cerro. Average goals 2.60, both teams scored in 60% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?
The Primera División match finished Defensor Sporting 2:3 Cerro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Defensor Sporting and Cerro?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 3, Cerro won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?
Defensor Sporting score 0.90 goals per game on average and Cerro 0.74. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Defensor Sporting's matches and 42% of Cerro's.
What form are Defensor Sporting and Cerro in?
Over the last 5 games Defensor Sporting have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Cerro 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Defensor Sporting vs Cerro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.