Dekani vs Beltinci: match statistics

Beltinci sit 4th and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals in that period, while Dekani have scored 4 and managed just 1 win. However, the visitors create significantly more high-quality chances away from home, averaging 2.12 xG compared with Dekani’s 1.46 at home, as well as 14.5 shots per match compared with the hosts’ 11.33. The key counterweight is Beltinci’s very poor defensive record away from home: they concede an average of 3 goals per match, have lost both away fixtures and have kept no clean sheets. Dekani concede just 0.67 goals per home match and have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their games, but they fail to score in as many as 67% of home appearances. The clash between Beltinci’s stronger overall form, Dekani’s solid defence and both teams’ problems in less favourable conditions points to a draw.

Beltinci have a very strong attacking case, having scored in every match this season, averaging 2.12 xG and finding the net in 60% of their last five fixtures. At the same time, Dekani have scored just 0.8 goals per match across their last five games, and the Goal/Goal scenario has not occurred once during that period. The hosts are also solid without the ball: they concede only 0.67 goals per game this season, have kept a clean sheet in 67% of their matches, and allowed just 0.6 goals per game across their last five fixtures. Beltinci's season BTTS rate is indeed 100%, but it is based on a small sample, while Dekani's stands at just 33%, compared with a league average of 41%. The most likely scenario is therefore that Beltinci score but Dekani fail to respond, making BTTS - No the preferred option.

Dekani score an average of 3.0 goals per home match and create chances worth 2.06 xG, while Beltinci concede as many as 3.0 goals away from home. The visitors have kept no clean sheets, whereas the hosts average 8.0 shots on target, compared with 4.5 for Beltinci. In matches involving both teams, the 1.5-goal line has been exceeded in 100% of games so far, while Beltinci also have 100% of their away matches finishing Over 2.5 and Over 3.5 goals. Caution is warranted due to Dekani’s recent form, as they have scored only 0.8 goals across their previous five matches, with just 20% of those games going Over 2.5 goals. Nevertheless, the combination of the hosts’ very strong attack and Beltinci’s weak defense gives the strongest edge to Over 1.5 goals.

Dekani have won all of their matches at home so far, scoring an average of 3.0 goals and conceding just 0.67, while Beltinci have failed to earn a single point away from home and have allowed their opponents to score 3.0 goals per match. The home side’s advantage is particularly evident before half-time: they have led at the break in 67% of these matches, averaging 1.67 first-half goals, while Beltinci have failed to score in the opening half and have conceded an average of 1.5 goals. Dekani also create more high-quality chances on home turf, averaging 8.0 shots on target compared with their opponents’ 4.5, while their conversion rate stands at 18%, versus 7% for Beltinci. After the break, the hosts continue to look solid, scoring an average of 1.33 goals and conceding just 0.33. Beltinci’s improved recent form, with 3 wins in their last 5 matches, lowers confidence in the prediction, but their very poor away results primarily point towards a scenario in which Dekani lead at half-time and secure the final victory: 1/1.