Netherlands - Eerste DivisieStadion De VliertData current as of 21 October 2026

Den Bosch vs MVV: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Den Bosch vs MVV: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Den Bosch play MVV in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 23 October 2026. Venue: Stadion De Vliert.

Current form

Den Bosch: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. MVV: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Den Bosch scores 1.45 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. MVV scores 1.27 and concedes 2.27. League average: 3.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Den Bosch 73%, MVV 64%. Over 2.5: Den Bosch 55%, MVV 64%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Den Bosch has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.15. Den Bosch: 15.8 shots per match, MVV: 9.4.

Match halves

Den Bosch: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.73. MVV: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Den Bosch: 0-15 (4 goals). MVV: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.49 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.68)
(4.20)
(3.90)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.45Goals scored / match1.27
Den BoschMVV
1.73Goals conceded / match2.27
Den BoschMVV
48%Average possession54%
Den BoschMVV
5.09Shots on target / match2.91
Den BoschMVV

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.82Shots per match9.45
Den BoschMVV
5.09Shots on target2.91
Den BoschMVV
9.2%Shot conversion13.5%
Den BoschMVV
48%Possession54%
Den BoschMVV
1.72xG for1.15
Den BoschMVV
1.7xG against1.55
Den BoschMVV

Shooting quality

Den Bosch: AttackingMVV: Efficient finishing
Den BoschMVV
Accuracy (shots on target)32%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Den Bosch is 233% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Den Bosch · 0.6 pts / match - MVV

Den Bosch
WLDWW
Season result split
36% W18% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-2-5
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
WLWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
MVV
LWLLL
Season result split
45% W9% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-5
1.45 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-3
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 1.00Opponent xG: 1.71BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Den Bosch is 14% better for: goals scored per match.

1.45 goals / match - Den Bosch · 1.27 goals / match - MVV

Den Bosch is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.73 goals / match - Den Bosch · 2.27 goals / match - MVV

Den Bosch scoring profile: very strong

Den Bosch scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

MVV scoring profile: very strong

MVV scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Den Bosch keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).

16Goals scored (season)14
Den BoschMVV
19Goals conceded (season)25
Den BoschMVV
3.18Average goals in match3.55
Den BoschMVV
6Goals scored (last 5)5
Den BoschMVV
4Goals conceded (last 5)16
Den BoschMVV

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal82%
Den BoschMVV
36%2 goals36%
Den BoschMVV
9%3 goals9%
Den BoschMVV
9%4 goals0%
Den BoschMVV

How often they concede at least...

91%1 goal82%
Den BoschMVV
45%2 goals45%
Den BoschMVV
27%3 goals36%
Den BoschMVV
9%4 goals36%
Den BoschMVV

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time36%
Den BoschMVV
9%BTTS in both halves9%
Den BoschMVV
9%Scored in both halves27%
Den BoschMVV

BTTS and goal count

55%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
Den BoschMVV
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Den BoschMVV
60%BTTS - last 560%
Den BoschMVV

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

64%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
Den BoschMVV
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time45%
Den BoschMVV
27%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Den BoschMVV

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
Den BoschMVV
64%Min. 2 goals after half-time64%
Den BoschMVV
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time45%
Den BoschMVV

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Den Bosch is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / match - Den Bosch · 1.09 pts / match - MVV

Den Bosch - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing
MVV - half-time state
18% leading55% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per match (1st half)1.09
Den BoschMVV
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.55
Den BoschMVV
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.82
Den BoschMVV
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.36
Den BoschMVV
55%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Den BoschMVV
64%No goal before half-time45%
Den BoschMVV

After half-time (2nd half)

0.91Points per match (2nd half)1.27
Den BoschMVV
0.73Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
Den BoschMVV
1.09Goals conceded (2nd half)1.45
Den BoschMVV
1.82Average goals (2nd half)2.18
Den BoschMVV
27%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Den BoschMVV
45%No goal after half-time45%
Den BoschMVV

Den Bosch - second-half results

9% W64% D27% L
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

MVV - second-half results

36% W18% D45% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding250%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Den Bosch - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.40.6
1 goal80%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
MVV - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.41.8
Average goals in match1.82.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-5-6
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Den Bosch
ScoredConceded
4
1
0-15
2
3
16-30
2
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
4
61-75
4
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

MVV
ScoredConceded
2
4
0-15
1
1
16-30
3
4
31-45
3
5
46-60
1
4
61-75
4
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.36
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
67%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Den Bosch

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.27
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
113%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.73
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

MVV

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.60
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.72
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.85
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

Den BoschLigaMVV
Average goals in match▼ 3.183.49• 3.55
Both teams scored▲ 73%67%▼ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 55%66%▼ 64%
Clean sheets▼ 9%17%• 18%
Goal before half-time▼ 64%82%▼ 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 73%84%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.49
Average goals per match
67%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.96
Home goals / match
1.53
Away goals / match
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
53%
2 goals
30%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Den Bosch 1 - 0 - 1 MVV. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FC Den Bosch
1 : 2
MVV
MVV
2 : 4
FC Den Bosch

FAQ

When do Den Bosch and MVV play?

Den Bosch face MVV on 23 October 2026 in Eerste Divisie at Stadion De Vliert. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Den Bosch and MVV?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Den Bosch won 1, MVV won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Den Bosch vs MVV?

Den Bosch score 1.45 goals per game on average and MVV 1.27. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Den Bosch's matches and 64% of MVV's.

What form are Den Bosch and MVV in?

Over the last 5 games Den Bosch have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and MVV 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Den Bosch vs MVV?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.