Colombia - Categoria Primera AEstadio Manuel Murillo ToroData current as of 22 October 2026

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Deportes Tolima play Deportivo Pasto in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 26 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.

Current form

Deportes Tolima: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Deportivo Pasto: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Deportes Tolima scores 1.29 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto scores 1.12 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Deportes Tolima 53%, Deportivo Pasto 47%. Over 2.5: Deportes Tolima 42%, Deportivo Pasto 47%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.

xG, shots and style

Deportes Tolima has higher xG: 1.51 vs 1.28. Deportes Tolima: 13.9 shots per match, Deportivo Pasto: 11.9.

Match halves

Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.68. Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.56.

Goals by minute

Deportes Tolima: 46-60 (10 goals). Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Categoria Primera A: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-2. Average goals 2.20, BTTS 20%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.45)
(4.10)
(6.84)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
1.29Goals scored / match1.12
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
1.03Goals conceded / match1.38
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
56%Average possession53%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
4.82Shots on target / match3.56
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.87Shots per match11.88
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
4.82Shots on target3.56
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
9.3%Shot conversion9.4%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
56%Possession53%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
1.51xG for1.28
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
1.2xG against1.3
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

Shooting quality

Deportes Tolima: BalancedDeportivo Pasto: Balanced
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
Accuracy (shots on target)35%30%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Deportivo Pasto is 133% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.4 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto

Deportes Tolima
DDDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
39% W32% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-12-11
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
11-5-3
Last 5 at home
2-3-0
WDWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.45Opponent xG: 1.09BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Deportivo Pasto
WWLDL
Season result split
35% W21% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-7-15
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-4-7
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Deportes Tolima is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.12 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto

Deportes Tolima is 34% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.03 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.38 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto

Deportes Tolima scoring profile: strong

Deportes Tolima scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

Deportivo Pasto scoring profile: strong

Deportivo Pasto scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).

49Goals scored (season)38
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
39Goals conceded (season)47
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
2.32Average goals in match2.5
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
5Goals scored (last 5)2
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal68%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
50%2 goals35%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
5%3 goals9%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
3%4 goals0%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal71%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
24%2 goals47%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
11%3 goals15%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
0%4 goals6%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

54%
League average

Goal patterns

21%BTTS at half-time26%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
0%BTTS in both halves3%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
26%Scored in both halves24%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
60%BTTS - last 50%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

66%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportes Tolima is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.18 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto

Deportes Tolima - half-time state
34% leading47% draw18% trailing
Deportivo Pasto - half-time state
24% leading47% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.18
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
0.61Goals scored (1st half)0.56
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.65
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
1.03Average goals (1st half)1.21
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
63%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
50%No goal before half-time53%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)1.15
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.56
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.74
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
1.29Average goals (2nd half)1.29
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
53%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto
53%No goal after half-time56%
Deportes TolimaDeportivo Pasto

Deportes Tolima - second-half results

37% W32% D32% L
57
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
54
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Deportivo Pasto - second-half results

24% W44% D32% L
40
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding146%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Deportes Tolima - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Deportivo Pasto - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.60
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.21.0
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Deportes Tolima
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
8
7
16-30
8
5
31-45
10
9
46-60
7
6
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Deportivo Pasto
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
8
9
16-30
6
9
31-45
5
5
46-60
1
13
61-75
13
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
95%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-9%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Deportes Tolima

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-12.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.90
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

Deportivo Pasto

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
108%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
34% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
34%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).

Teams vs league

Deportes TolimaLigaDeportivo Pasto
Average goals in match▼ 2.322.54• 2.50
Both teams scored• 53%54%▼ 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 42%48%• 47%
Clean sheets▲ 32%27%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 66%68%▲ 71%
Goal after half-time▼ 74%78%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.54
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.50
Home goals / match
1.04
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Deportes Tolima 3 - 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto. Average goals 2.20, both teams scored in 20% matches.

Deportivo Pasto
0 : 2
Deportes Tolima
Deportes Tolima
1 : 0
Deportivo Pasto
Deportivo Pasto
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
AD Pasto
3 : 2
Club Deportes Tolima SA
Club Deportes Tolima SA
2 : 0
AD Pasto

FAQ

When do Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto play?

Deportes Tolima face Deportivo Pasto on 26 October 2026 in Categoria Primera A at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 3, Deportivo Pasto won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.20 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

Deportes Tolima score 1.29 goals per game on average and Deportivo Pasto 1.12. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Deportes Tolima's matches and 47% of Deportivo Pasto's.

What form are Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto in?

Over the last 5 games Deportes Tolima have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Deportivo Pasto 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?

The statistical background for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.