Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs CD El Nacional: match statistics
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs CD El Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors play CD El Nacional in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 7 June 2026 at 22:30. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. CD El Nacional: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores 1.12 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. CD El Nacional scores 0.59 and concedes 1.71. League average: 1.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 29%, CD El Nacional 59%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 47%, CD El Nacional 47%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
CD El Nacional has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.29. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 10.8 shots per match, CD El Nacional: 9.8.
Match halves
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.29. CD El Nacional: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 31-45+ (8 goals). CD El Nacional: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.92 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors hold a clear home advantage in underlying metrics: they average 10.8 shots and 4.4 on target per match with xG 1.37, while CD El Nacional away record shows 7.8 shots, 3.8 on target and xG 1.07. The hosts’ defense looks superior — Cuenca concedes 0.80 goals per home match on average and keep 60% clean sheets, whereas the visitors concede 1.83 goals per away match and have recorded no clean sheets (0%). Over the season the hosts have scored 12 goals versus El Nacional’s 8, and in the last 5 matches Cuenca average 0.8 points per match compared to the visitors’ 0.2. Note, however, that the hosts also have a high share of home matches without scoring — 60% of games go without a goal — which reduces their finishing efficiency given the chances created. Considering better ball control (55% vs 44%), superiority in chance creation and El Nacional’s catastrophic away form (0 away wins, 83% losses), I estimate the probability of a home win at 70%, a draw at 20% and an away win at 10%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.16 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors · 0.2 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors is 90% better for: goals scored per match.
1.12 goals / match - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors · 0.59 goals / match - CD El Nacional
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors is 61% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors · 1.71 goals / match - CD El Nacional
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 17 matches).
CD El Nacional scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Over / Under — CD El Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors is 287% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.82 pts / match - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors · 0.47 pts / match - CD El Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
CD El Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
CD El Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | Liga | CD El Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.18 | 1.92 | ▲ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 33% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 39% | ▼ 6% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 57% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 60% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 1 - 0 - 0 CD El Nacional. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs CD El Nacional?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 4:1 CD El Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs CD El Nacional?
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors score 1.12 goals per game on average and CD El Nacional 0.59. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Deportivo Cuenca Juniors's matches and 59% of CD El Nacional's.
What form are Deportivo Cuenca Juniors and CD El Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Cuenca Juniors have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and CD El Nacional 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs CD El Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs CD El Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.