Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español: match statistics
Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Maldonado played Central Español in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Central Español: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.53 and concedes 0.90 goals per match. Central Español scores 1.07 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Maldonado 47%, Central Español 50%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Maldonado 40%, Central Español 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.25. Deportivo Maldonado: 11.6 shots per match, Central Español: 9.5.
Match halves
Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.73. Central Español: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (12 goals). Central Español: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Maldonado have won 4 of their last 5 matches, scoring 10 goals and conceding just 3, while Central Español have recorded 1 win and conceded 9 goals. Home advantage is clear: the hosts have won 67% of their home matches, while the visitors have lost 43% of their away games. Deportivo average 1.73 goals scored and 0.67 conceded at home, compared with Central’s 0.93 goals scored and 1.36 conceded away. The quality of chances created also favours the hosts: their home xG is 1.58, while the visitors’ away xG is 1.21; Central also allow chances with an average xG of 1.91. These differences make a Deportivo win the most likely outcome, although the hosts’ 27% home draw rate leaves room for the points to be shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
It is more likely that at least one team will fail to score, primarily due to Central Español’s attack: the visitors average 0.93 goals per match and have failed to find the net in 36% of their games. Deportivo Maldonado concede an average of 1.25 goals per season, but have allowed opponents just 0.6 goals across their last 5 matches, limiting the visitors’ chances of breaking through. The indicators for the two teams are mixed: BTTS has landed in 63% of the hosts’ matches, but in only 36% of the visitors’ games, while the latter kept a clean sheet in 50% of cases. Central Español’s last 5 matches did see BTTS in 80% of cases, so the edge for BTTS - No is moderate rather than decisive.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line was not exceeded in 75% of Deportivo Maldonado’s matches and 86% of Central Español’s matches. The hosts average 1.19 goals, while the visitors average 0.93, limiting the likelihood of a very high-scoring game. Deportivo did score 10 goals in its last 5 matches, but its xG over that period averaged 1.28, so I do not expect it to sustain a scoring rate of 2 goals per match. The forecast of 2.50 total goals allows for a two- or three-goal result while still supporting Under 3.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Deportivo Maldonado were level at the break in 63% of their matches, compared with 64% for Central Español. The hosts score an average of just 0.31 goals in the first half, which also weighs against them taking an early lead. After the break, they hold the advantage, averaging 0.88 goals scored compared with 0.50 for the visitors, who concede an average of 0.86 goals in that period. Deportivo have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Central Español have won just 1; over that span, the hosts averaged 2.0 goals per match, compared with 1.4 for the visitors. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a Deportivo win at full-time has stronger statistical backing than the hosts leading at the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Maldonado | Central Español | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 350% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 0.4 pts / match - Central Español
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.53 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.07 goals / match - Central Español
Deportivo Maldonado is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.9 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.3 goals / match - Central Español
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 80% of matches (24 of 30 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 33% (10 of 30 matches).
Central Español scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 43% (13 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Maldonado
Over / Under - Central Español
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 83% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 0.93 pts / match - Central Español
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Central Español - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Maldonado
Central Español
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Maldonado | Liga | Central Español | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.43 | 2.39 | • 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 47% | 51% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 67% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 0 - 1 Central Español. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Maldonado 3:0 Central Español. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español?
Deportivo Maldonado score 1.53 goals per game on average and Central Español 1.07. The Primera División average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Deportivo Maldonado's matches and 50% of Central Español's.
What form are Deportivo Maldonado and Central Español in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maldonado have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Central Español 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Español?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.