Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio: match statistics
Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Maldonado play Danubio in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 18 May 2026 at 23:30. Venue: Estadio Domingo Burgueño Miguel. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Danubio: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.71 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Danubio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Maldonado 62%, Danubio 55%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Maldonado 52%, Danubio 45%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.24. Deportivo Maldonado: 11.7 shots per match, Danubio: 9.3.
Match halves
Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.76. Danubio: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (10 goals). Danubio: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back a Deportivo Maldonado win (1). Deportivo averages 1.86 goals scored and 0.86 conceded at home, while Danubio away scores 0.88 and concedes 1.88. The difference in quality of chances is clear: hosts average 1.55 xG, 13.29 shots and 4.71 on target per home match, versus Danubio’s 0.95 xG, 7.13 shots and 2.25 on target away. Hosts win 86% of home games and have yet to fail to score at home (0% shutout rate), while Danubio has 25% away wins, 38% of away matches without scoring and only 13% clean sheets on the road. In the last 5 matches Deportivo scored 9 goals and averaged 2 points per game, Danubio 5 goals and 1 point on average, so the probability of a home victory is clearly higher.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Maldonado | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 0.6 pts / match - Danubio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1 goals / match - Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.35 goals / match - Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
Danubio scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Maldonado
Over / Under — Danubio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.4 pts / match - Danubio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Danubio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Maldonado | Liga | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.41 | • 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 46% | • 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 1 - 0 Danubio. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Maldonado 3:1 Danubio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
Deportivo Maldonado score 1.71 goals per game on average and Danubio 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Deportivo Maldonado's matches and 55% of Danubio's.
What form are Deportivo Maldonado and Danubio in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maldonado have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Danubio 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maldonado vs Danubio?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.


