Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso: match statistics
Deportivo Maldonado is in significantly better form over their last five matches, averaging 2.2 points per game with a record of three wins and two draws without a loss. The hosts have scored 7 goals while conceding only 3 during this period, demonstrating solid form both offensively and defensively. Progreso, on the other hand, is in terrible form, averaging only 0.2 points per match in their last five outings, suffering four defeats and one draw. The visitors scored only 4 goals while conceding 15 in this span, highlighting serious defensive issues. Considering the home side's form advantage and Progreso's poor form, I expect a confident win for Deportivo Maldonado at their home ground. The difference in the quality of play and current form of both teams is significant enough that a draw or an away win seems unlikely.
Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Maldonado play Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 14 February 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Deportivo Maldonado: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Progreso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.71 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Progreso scores 0.81 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Maldonado 62%, Progreso 43%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Maldonado 52%, Progreso 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.16. Deportivo Maldonado: 11.7 shots per match, Progreso: 8.5.
Match halves
Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.76. Progreso: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Maldonado: 76-90+ (10 goals). Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Deportivo Maldonado is in significantly better form over their last five matches, averaging 2.2 points per game with a record of three wins and two draws without a loss. The hosts have scored 7 goals while conceding only 3 during this period, demonstrating solid form both offensively and defensively. Progreso, on the other hand, is in terrible form, averaging only 0.2 points per match in their last five outings, suffering four defeats and one draw. The visitors scored only 4 goals while conceding 15 in this span, highlighting serious defensive issues. Considering the home side's form advantage and Progreso's poor form, I expect a confident win for Deportivo Maldonado at their home ground. The difference in the quality of play and current form of both teams is significant enough that a draw or an away win seems unlikely.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Maldonado | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.2 pts / match - Progreso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 111% better for: goals scored per match.
1.71 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 0.81 goals / match - Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 1.52 goals / match - Progreso
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 90% of matches (19 of 21 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
Progreso scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Maldonado
Over / Under — Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 145% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado · 0.76 pts / match - Progreso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Maldonado
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Maldonado | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.76 | 2.41 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Deportivo Maldonado 0 - 0 - 1 Progreso. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Maldonado 2:0 Progreso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?
Deportivo Maldonado score 1.71 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.81. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Deportivo Maldonado's matches and 43% of Progreso's.
What form are Deportivo Maldonado and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maldonado have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Progreso 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso?
The statistical background for Deportivo Maldonado vs Progreso — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.