Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Pasto played Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Departamental Libertad. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Deportivo Pasto: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Fortaleza CEIF: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Pasto scores 1.19 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.17 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Pasto 50%, Fortaleza CEIF 73%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Pasto 50%, Fortaleza CEIF 53%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Pasto has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.23. Deportivo Pasto: 12.1 shots per match, Fortaleza CEIF: 11.5.
Match halves
Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.59. Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (13 goals). Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Pasto have the home advantage: they have won 44% of their home matches, while Fortaleza CEIF are yet to win away and have drawn 57% of their away fixtures. In their last five matches, the hosts have earned 7 points, compared with just 3 for the visitors, although Pasto have scored 5 goals in that spell to Fortaleza’s 8. Pasto’s home defensive record is another factor in their favour, with an average of 1.06 goals conceded per match; Fortaleza concede 1.79 away from home and keep a clean sheet in 14% of their matches. Pasto also create slightly better chances at home, posting an average xG of 1.36 compared with Fortaleza’s 1.02 away, but the visitors’ high 57% away draw rate means the points could still be shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams frequently feature in matches with goals at both ends: the rate of such games is 75% for Deportivo Pasto and 71% for Fortaleza, compared with 55% league-wide. The hosts score an average of 1.31 goals per match, while the visitors concede 1.79, which favors a Deportivo goal. Fortaleza average 1.00 goal, but Deportivo concede 1.25, rising to 1.8 per match across their last 5 games. In addition, Fortaleza have scored in each of their last 5 matches, although both teams scored in only 40% of Deportivo’s games during that period. This cautionary signal does not outweigh the high season-long rates, so a goal from each team is more likely (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 88% of Deportivo Pasto’s matches and 79% of Fortaleza’s. The hosts average 1.31 goals scored, while the visitors concede 1.79, giving Deportivo a solid basis to score one or two goals. Fortaleza average 1.00 goal scored, while Deportivo concede 1.25; in addition, both teams have scored in 75% and 71% of their matches, respectively. The last five matches have averaged 2.8 goals in Deportivo games and 4.0 in Fortaleza games, reinforcing the case for at least two goals. The Over 2.5 line is less certain, having landed in 56% of the hosts’ matches and 50% of the visitors’ matches over the full season.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Deportivo Pasto have the edge in chance creation: their average xG is 1.42 compared with Fortaleza’s 1.02, and they record 4.69 shots on target per match versus 2.57. The hosts led at the break in 4 of 16 matches, while the visitors were trailing at half-time in 8 of 14, giving Pasto a realistic chance of taking an early lead. The second-half figures support them holding on to that advantage: Pasto won the second half in 44% of matches, while Fortaleza lost it in 50%. The visitors have won none of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 2.4 goals in those games, making a home lead at half-time followed by a home win the strongest single HT/FT scenario. The risk is a draw at half-time, as Pasto were level at the break in 8 of 16 matches and did not lead after 45 minutes in any of their last 5.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Pasto | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Pasto is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto · 0.6 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Pasto scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 20% (6 of 30 matches).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 83% of matches (25 of 30 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 28% (9 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Pasto
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Pasto is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto · 1 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Pasto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Pasto
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Pasto | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.63 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 49% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 28% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 68% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | ▲ 87% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Deportivo Pasto 2 - 0 - 1 Fortaleza CEIF. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportivo Pasto 0:0 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Pasto and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 2, Fortaleza CEIF won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportivo Pasto score 1.19 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 1.17. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Deportivo Pasto's matches and 73% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Deportivo Pasto and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Pasto have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Pasto vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.