Derby County vs Birmingham City: match statistics
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Derby County vs Birmingham City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Derby County play Birmingham City in Championship (England). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Pride Park Stadium.
Current form
Derby County: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Birmingham City: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Derby County scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Birmingham City scores 1.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Derby County 40%, Birmingham City 80%. Over 2.5: Derby County 80%, Birmingham City 60%. League level: BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Birmingham City has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.18. Derby County: 10.0 shots per match, Birmingham City: 11.6.
Match halves
Derby County: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40. Birmingham City: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Derby County: 16-30 (3 goals). Birmingham City: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 67%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Derby County | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Birmingham City is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Derby County · 1.4 pts / match - Birmingham City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Birmingham City is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Derby County · 1.4 goals / match - Birmingham City
Birmingham City is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Derby County · 1.2 goals / match - Birmingham City
Derby County scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Birmingham City keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
Birmingham City scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Derby County keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derby County
Over / Under - Birmingham City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derby County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Birmingham City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Derby County
Birmingham City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Derby County | Liga | Birmingham City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 67% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Clean sheets | • 20% | 21% | • 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | • 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 75% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Derby County 1 - 1 - 0 Birmingham City. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
When do Derby County and Birmingham City play?
Derby County face Birmingham City on 12 September 2026 in Championship at Pride Park Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Derby County and Birmingham City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Derby County won 1, Birmingham City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Derby County vs Birmingham City?
Derby County score 1.00 goals per game on average and Birmingham City 1.40. The Championship average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Derby County's matches and 80% of Birmingham City's.
What form are Derby County and Birmingham City in?
Over the last 5 games Derby County have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Birmingham City 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derby County vs Birmingham City?
The statistical background for Derby County vs Birmingham City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.