Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: match statistics
Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Derry City played St Patrick's Athl. in Premier Division (Ireland). The match was played on 22 May 2026. Venue: Brandywell Stadium. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Derry City: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. St Patrick's Athl.: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Derry City scores 1.24 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. St Patrick's Athl. scores 1.82 and concedes 0.94. League average: 2.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Derry City 65%, St Patrick's Athl. 47%. Over 2.5: Derry City 53%, St Patrick's Athl. 47%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
St Patrick's Athl. has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.60. Derry City: 13.2 shots per match, St Patrick's Athl.: 16.9.
Match halves
Derry City: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. St Patrick's Athl.: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Derry City: 76-90+ (7 goals). St Patrick's Athl.: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.70 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-1. Average goals 1.60, BTTS 20%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Derry City hold a slight home-edge: average home xG is 2.01 versus St Patrick's Athl 1.73 xG on the road, with hosts registering 6.5 SOT and 61% possession compared to visitors' 4.88 SOT and 53% possession. Hosts average 1.63 goals per home match, visitors score 1.38 away; averaged xG implies expected goals of ~1.62 for Derry and 1.35 for St Patrick's Athl. Nonetheless, St Patrick's Athl display superior season figures (31 goals scored vs Derry's 21) and an impressive 12 goals in the last 5 matches versus Derry's 5, plus 1.6 points per match in the last 5 compared to the hosts' 1.2. Defensively the differences are marginal: Derry concede 1.38 goals at home (xG against 0.97), while St Patrick's Athl concede 1.25 on the road (xG against 1.23) with 25% clean sheets for the visitors versus 13% for the hosts. Considering ball control, higher chance volume and Derry's low share of scoreless games (FTS 13% vs 38% St Patrick's Athl), I give a slight edge to the home side in this matchup.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates of 44% (Derry City) and 50% (St Patrick's), and in the last 5 matches both sides record BTTS at 60%, indicating an increased probability of both teams scoring. Derry City averages 2.22 goals at home (xG 2.03) and 6.56 shots on target per match, while St Patrick's away averages 1.38 goals (xG 1.73) and 4.88 shots on target, so both teams possess realistic offensive capabilities. The hosts concede only 0.67 goals at home on average and keep a clean sheet in 33% of matches, whereas the visitors concede 1.25 goals away and have 25% clean sheets; despite the hosts' better defense, the visitors have been scoring more recently (last 5: St Patrick's 12 goals vs Derry 5). Additionally, the league has a season BTTS of 57% and averages 2.7 goals per match, which together with the recent 60% BTTS in the last 5 matches for both sides supports a Goal/Goal scenario, therefore I recommend BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG: Derry’s attack has xG 2.03, St Patrick's defense xG against 1.23 — averaging these yields about 1.63 expected goals for the home side; similarly the visitors’ attack xG 1.73 and the home defense xG against 1.15 give about 1.44 for the away side, totaling 3.07. Derry averages 2.22 goals per game this season and registers 6.56 shots on target, St Patrick's averages 1.38 goals and 4.88 shots on target; Derry’s superior finishing (conversion rate 12% vs. 9% for the visitors) increases the likelihood of chances being converted. Seasonally 56% of Derry’s matches and 88% of St Patrick's matches finish over 1.5 goals, and 56% of Derry and 38% of St Patrick's are over 2.5; in the last 5 games the combined goals average is 3.4 (1.0 Derry, 2.4 St Patrick's), which supports a higher-scoring scenario. Given the projected 3.07 goals — clearly above the league average of 2.7 — and the high seasonal over-1.5 rate for the visitors, the best play is over 1.5 (I assess the probability at 86%), over 2.5 is moderately likely (65%), and over 3.5 is less certain (36%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
HT stats suggest a draw at the break: Derry drew in the first half in 44% of matches and St Patrick's in 50%, yielding roughly a 47% chance of a HT draw. Derry has a clear advantage after the break — they average 1.44 goals scored and only 0.11 conceded in the second half, and in second halves they average 2.22 points and a 67% win rate. Seasonal figures confirm the home-side edge: home points 2.11 vs away 1.50, xG 2.03 vs 1.73, and win efficiency 67% for Derry versus 38% for St Patrick's. For these reasons the most justified scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win after 90 minutes (X/1) — I assign it a 26% probability; the 1/1 variant has similar support (26%) as an alternative, while a turnaround by the visitors (e.g. 1/2) I rate low at 2% given Derry’s minimal average second-half goals conceded (0.11) and their xG advantage.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Derry City | St Patrick's Athl. | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
St Patrick's Athl. is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Derry City · 1.6 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
St Patrick's Athl. is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Derry City · 1.82 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl. is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Derry City · 0.94 goals / match - St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while St Patrick's Athl. keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
St Patrick's Athl. scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Derry City keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Derry City
Over / Under - St Patrick's Athl.
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
St Patrick's Athl. is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Derry City · 1.53 pts / match - St Patrick's Athl.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Derry City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
St Patrick's Athl. - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Derry City | Liga | St Patrick's Athl. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.47 | 2.70 | • 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 26% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | • 76% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Derry City 2 - 2 - 1 St Patrick's Athl.. Average goals 1.60, both teams scored in 20% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The Premier Division match finished Derry City 0:0 St Patrick's Athl.. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Derry City and St Patrick's Athl.?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Derry City won 2, St Patrick's Athl. won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.60 goals, with both teams scoring in 20% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
Derry City score 1.24 goals per game on average and St Patrick's Athl. 1.82. The Premier Division average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Derry City's matches and 47% of St Patrick's Athl.'s.
What form are Derry City and St Patrick's Athl. in?
Over the last 5 games Derry City have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and St Patrick's Athl. 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl.?
The statistical background for Derry City vs St Patrick's Athl. — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.