Difaâ El Jadida vs CODM Meknès: match statistics

Difaâ El Jadida have posted the stronger record across their last five matches: 2 wins, 2 draws and just 1 defeat, averaging 1.6 points per game. Over the same period, CODM Meknès have won only once, drawn twice and suffered 2 defeats, averaging 1 point. Both teams have scored 7 goals in their last five matches, but the hosts have conceded 7, compared with 8 for the visitors, which gives them a slight defensive edge. Difaâ El Jadida’s advantage therefore stems mainly from their more consistent results and lower number of defeats, although the teams’ similar attacking output increases the likelihood of a draw. With limited season-long data available, a narrow home win appears the most likely outcome.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 4 of their last 5 matches, equating to 80% each and providing a clear signal for goals at both ends. During this period, Difaâ El Jadida averaged 1.4 goals scored and conceded the same number, while CODM Meknès scored 1.4 goals but allowed opponents to score 1.6. Their attacking potential is supported by average xG figures of 1.05 for the hosts and 1.13 for the visitors, alongside xG against figures of 1.31 and 1.35 respectively. In their last five matches, the hosts scored and conceded 7 goals, while the visitors scored 7 and conceded 8, indicating that both defences regularly allowed opponents to create effective scoring chances. The lack of full-season data limits confidence in the prediction, but current form more clearly supports a BTTS - Yes scenario rather than BTTS - No. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically imply a 0-0 result or that neither team will score.

The available data from the last five matches indicates an open profile for both teams: Difaâ El Jadida scored and conceded 1.4 goals per match, while CODM Meknès scored 1.4 and conceded 1.6 goals. This produces average match totals of around 2.8–3.0 goals for both teams, but the quality of chances created is lower: average xG stands at 1.05 for the hosts and 1.13 for the visitors. After accounting for opponents’ xG—1.35 and 1.31, respectively—the forecast is 1.27 goals for Difaâ El Jadida and 1.28 for CODM Meknès. Over 2.5 goals landed in 3 of the hosts’ last 5 matches and 4 of the visitors’ last 5, but the sample is small and does not provide a sufficiently strong edge at a high line. The strongest selection is Under 3.5 goals, as the expected total of 2.55 goals leaves a clear margin to four goals, despite both teams scoring in 80% of their last five matches.

The strongest scenario is Difaâ El Jadida leading at the break and maintaining that advantage until the final whistle, as the hosts were ahead at half-time in 40% of their last five matches, while CODM Meknès did not lead at the break in any of them. The visitors went into half-time trailing in 60% of those games and scored just 0.2 goals per match before the break, compared with 0.8 for the hosts. Difaâ El Jadida also have the better recent record: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, compared with one win, two draws and two defeats for their opponents. Caution is warranted because Meknès have performed better after half-time, averaging 1.2 goals and avoiding defeat in the second half in each of their last five appearances. Therefore, a draw at half-time followed by a home win remains a significant alternative. Complete season-long data is unavailable, so the assessment is based primarily on current form over the last five matches.