Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka: match statistics
Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dinamo Zagreb played Rijeka in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 27 October 2026. Venue: Stadion Maksimir. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Dinamo Zagreb: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Rijeka: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.56 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Rijeka scores 1.78 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dinamo Zagreb 67%, Rijeka 67%. Over 2.5: Dinamo Zagreb 78%, Rijeka 67%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 2.21 vs 1.96. Dinamo Zagreb: 19.4 shots per match, Rijeka: 16.4.
Match halves
Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.33. Rijeka: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Dinamo Zagreb: 61-75 (6 goals). Rijeka: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prva HNL: 3.04 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dinamo Zagreb have won all 5 of their home matches so far, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding just 0.6, while Rijeka have won only 1 of their 5 away games. The hosts pose a greater threat: they average 8.8 shots on target at home compared with Rijeka’s 3.8 away, and their xG stands at 2.44 against their opponents’ 1.69. Although the visitors have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 16 goals in that run, they average just 0.8 goals away from home and have failed to score in 40% of their matches. Dinamo have also stumbled recently, losing 2 of their last 5 games, but their home scoring record and 60% clean-sheet rate point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS has landed in 75% of Dinamo’s home matches and 60% of Rijeka’s away games, favoring a scenario in which both teams score. Dinamo averages 3.0 goals at home and has yet to finish a home match without scoring, making a Dinamo goal particularly likely. Rijeka is the less certain side: it averages just 0.8 goals away and has failed to score in 40% of its away games, but has averaged 3.2 goals and an xG of 1.94 across its last five matches overall. Dinamo conceded an average of 1.4 goals over the same period, and BTTS landed in 60% of both teams’ last five matches, so despite the risk of the visitors drawing a blank, I’m backing BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Dinamo average 3.0 goals scored at home, while Rijeka concede 1.6 goals away, pointing to strong scoring potential for the hosts. Dinamo average 9.0 shots on target compared with Rijeka’s 3.8, although the visitors’ away xG of 1.69 gives them a chance to get on the scoresheet. The teams’ last five matches averaged 4.0 and 4.4 goals respectively, with at least three goals scored in 80% and 100% of those games. Even so, Over 1.5 is a stronger pick than the higher goal lines: it landed in 100% of Dinamo’s home matches and 80% of Rijeka’s away matches, while Over 3.5 goals landed in 50% and 20%, respectively.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dinamo won all 4 included home matches and led at the break in each, making a home lead from half-time the scenario best supported by the data. At home, Dinamo averaged 2.0 goals before the break, while Rijeka scored an average of 0.4 goals in that period away from home and were level at half-time 3 times in 5 matches. Dinamo’s advantage also extends across the full match: the hosts averaged 3.0 goals and 9.0 shots on target at home, while Rijeka conceded 1.6 goals and recorded 3.8 shots on target away. After the break, Dinamo averaged 1.0 goal at home, while Rijeka won none of their 5 away second halves, which supports the hosts holding on to their lead. Rijeka’s strong form across their recent matches—4 wins in 5—raises the risk, but their away record stands at just 1 win in 5 matches, so 1/1 remains the most likely HT/FT outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dinamo Zagreb | Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Rijeka is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 2 pts / match - Rijeka
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
2.56 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.78 goals / match - Rijeka
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 100% of matches (9 of 9 matches), while Rijeka keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
Rijeka scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dinamo Zagreb
Over / Under - Rijeka
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Rijeka is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 2 pts / match - Rijeka
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rijeka - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dinamo Zagreb
Rijeka
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Dinamo Zagreb | Liga | Rijeka | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.89 | 3.04 | • 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 81% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Dinamo Zagreb 2 - 2 - 0 Rijeka. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka?
The Prva HNL match finished Dinamo Zagreb 2:1 Rijeka. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dinamo Zagreb and Rijeka?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Dinamo Zagreb won 2, Rijeka won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka?
Dinamo Zagreb score 2.56 goals per game on average and Rijeka 1.78. The Prva HNL average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Dinamo Zagreb's matches and 67% of Rijeka's.
What form are Dinamo Zagreb and Rijeka in?
Over the last 5 games Dinamo Zagreb have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Rijeka 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka?
The statistical background for Dinamo Zagreb vs Rijeka — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.