Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dinamo Zagreb played Varaždin in Prva HNL (Croatia). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 3:1.

Current form

Dinamo Zagreb: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Varaždin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dinamo Zagreb scores 1.92 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Varaždin scores 1.15 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.59 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dinamo Zagreb 54%, Varaždin 54%. Over 2.5: Dinamo Zagreb 69%, Varaždin 46%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Dinamo Zagreb has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.41. Dinamo Zagreb: 16.7 shots per match, Varaždin: 12.5.

Match halves

Dinamo Zagreb: half-time lead 62%, second-half goals 1.08. Varaždin: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.38.

Goals by minute

Dinamo Zagreb: 76-90+ (9 goals). Varaždin: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prva HNL: 2.59 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
13Shots9
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
6Shots on target2
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
1.77xG1.12
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
5Corners7
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
73Dangerous attacks56
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
11Fouls13
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
2Cards1
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
1.92Goals scored / match1.15
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
0.92Goals conceded / match1.08
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
58%Average possession45%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
5.92Shots on target / match3.62
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

16.69Shots per match12.54
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
5.92Shots on target3.62
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
11.5%Shot conversion9.2%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
58%Possession45%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
2.01xG for1.41
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
1.12xG against1.62
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

Shooting quality

Dinamo Zagreb: DominantVaraždin: Balanced
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
Accuracy (shots on target)35%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Varaždin is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.4 pts / match - Varaždin

Dinamo Zagreb
LWLWL
Season result split
62% W8% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-1-4
1.92 pts / match · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.96Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Varaždin
LWLDW
Season result split
38% W31% D31% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-4
1.46 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Dinamo Zagreb is 67% better for: goals scored per match.

1.92 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.15 goals / match - Varaždin

Dinamo Zagreb is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.92 goals / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.08 goals / match - Varaždin

Dinamo Zagreb scoring profile: very strong

Dinamo Zagreb scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).

Varaždin scoring profile: strong

Varaždin scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 38% (5 of 13 matches).

25Goals scored (season)15
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
12Goals conceded (season)14
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
2.85Average goals in match2.23
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
6Goals scored (last 5)5
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

How often they score at least...

92%1 goal69%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
69%2 goals38%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
23%3 goals8%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
8%4 goals0%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

How often they concede at least...

62%1 goal69%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
31%2 goals23%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
0%3 goals15%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
0%4 goals0%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

59%
League average

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time31%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
46%Scored in both halves15%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

BTTS and goal count

54%Min. 3 goals and BTTS46%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
80%BTTS - last 540%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

85%Min. 1 goal before half-time69%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
31%Min. 2 goals before half-time46%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time62%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
62%Min. 2 goals after half-time23%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
15%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Dinamo Zagreb is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Dinamo Zagreb · 1.38 pts / match - Varaždin

Dinamo Zagreb - half-time state
62% leading15% draw23% trailing
Varaždin - half-time state
31% leading46% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.38
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
0.85Goals scored (1st half)0.77
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
0.31Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
1.15Average goals (1st half)1.31
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
77%Clean sheet before half-time54%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
38%No goal before half-time46%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

After half-time (2nd half)

1.69Points per match (2nd half)1.15
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
1.08Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.54
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
1.69Average goals (2nd half)0.92
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
46%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin
23%No goal after half-time69%
Dinamo ZagrebVaraždin

Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results

46% W31% D23% L
26
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 62% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Varaždin - second-half results

23% W46% D31% L
18
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding123%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Dinamo Zagreb - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference0-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Varaždin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dinamo Zagreb
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
2
16-30
5
1
31-45
2
4
46-60
3
3
61-75
9
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Varaždin
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
1
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dinamo Zagreb

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.89
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.20
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
130%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.72
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Varaždin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.28
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.26
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
7% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 27% come in the first quarter-hour.
7%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

Dinamo ZagrebLigaVaraždin
Average goals in match 2.852.59 2.23
Both teams scored 54%59% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 69%53% 46%
Clean sheets 38%24% 31%
Goal before half-time 85%76% 69%
Goal after half-time 92%80% 62%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.59
Average goals per match
59%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
24%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Dinamo ZagrebGoalSergi Domínguez ViloriaAssist: Miha Zajc
  2. VaraždinYellow cardLamine Ba
  3. Dinamo ZagrebGoalArbër HoxhaAssist: Mateo Lisica
  4. Dinamo ZagrebGoalArbër HoxhaAssist: Miha Zajc
  5. Dinamo ZagrebSubstitutionOn: Luka StojkovićOff: Miha Zajc
  6. Dinamo ZagrebSubstitutionOn: Drena Beljo DijonOff: Monsef Bakrar
  7. Dinamo ZagrebSubstitutionOn: Cardoso Pinto Mandume VarelaOff: Arbër Hoxha
  8. VaraždinSubstitutionOn: David PuclinOff: Tomislav Duvnjak
  9. VaraždinGoalLuka ŠkaričićAssist: Novak Tepšić
  10. Dinamo ZagrebYellow cardJosip Mišić
  11. Dinamo ZagrebYellow cardDrena Beljo Dijon

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Patrik PavlešićMatches officiated: 18
4.94Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins22%Draws22%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Dinamo Zagreb 0 - 1 - 0 Varaždin. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

NK Varaždin
2 : 2
GNK Dinamo Zagreb

FAQ

What was the result of Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin?

The Prva HNL match finished Dinamo Zagreb 3:1 Varaždin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin?

Dinamo Zagreb score 1.92 goals per game on average and Varaždin 1.15. The Prva HNL average is 2.59 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Dinamo Zagreb's matches and 54% of Varaždin's.

What form are Dinamo Zagreb and Varaždin in?

Over the last 5 games Dinamo Zagreb have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Varaždin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dinamo Zagreb vs Varaždin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.