Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dire Dawa Kenema play Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 1 July 2026 at 14:00. Venue: Dire Dawa Stadium. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Dire Dawa Kenema: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Arba Minch Kenema: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.68 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dire Dawa Kenema 39%, Arba Minch Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Dire Dawa Kenema 29%, Arba Minch Kenema 29%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Arba Minch Kenema has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.08. Dire Dawa Kenema: 6.7 shots per match, Arba Minch Kenema: 7.3.
Match halves
Dire Dawa Kenema: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.42. Arba Minch Kenema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.39.
Goals by minute
Dire Dawa Kenema: 61-75 (6 goals). Arba Minch Kenema: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Arba Minch Kenema is a narrow favorite due to more consistent away performances: the visitors average 0.94 goals scored away and concede only 0.89, with a positive away goal difference (+1). Dire Dawa Kenema scores just 0.67 goals per home match and fail to score in 56% of home games, despite maintaining 56% possession, indicating low finishing efficiency. Arba Minch average 7.83 shots and 2.83 on target per match versus the hosts' 6.28 and 2.67, and the superior quality of chances is reflected in xG: 1.16 vs 1.06. Recent 5-match form is similar (visitors 1.2 points per game vs hosts 1.0), but the home side have a higher home loss rate (44% vs visitors’ 28% away losses). Given the low overall goal average (approx. 1.78–1.83) and Dire Dawa’s clear finishing issues, a narrow away win is more likely than a comfortable home victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dire Dawa Kenema is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.2 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Arba Minch Kenema is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.68 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 0.79 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Dire Dawa Kenema is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.11 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.21 goals / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 50% of matches (19 of 38 matches), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 53% of matches (20 of 38 matches), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dire Dawa Kenema
Over / Under — Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Arba Minch Kenema is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.84 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.05 pts / match - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dire Dawa Kenema
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Dire Dawa Kenema | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.79 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 39% | 40% | ▲ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 29% | 28% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 32% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 56% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | • 58% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Dire Dawa Kenema 0 - 1 - 0 Arba Minch Kenema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Dire Dawa Kenema 2:1 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Dire Dawa Kenema score 0.68 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.79. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Dire Dawa Kenema's matches and 42% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Dire Dawa Kenema and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Dire Dawa Kenema have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The statistical background for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Arba Minch Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.