Dire Dawa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dire Dawa Kenema played Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 30 December 2025. Final score: 0:3.

Current form

Dire Dawa Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Negele Arsi Ketema: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.82 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.91 and concedes 0.82. League average: 1.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dire Dawa Kenema 45%, Negele Arsi Ketema 45%. Over 2.5: Dire Dawa Kenema 27%, Negele Arsi Ketema 36%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots and style

Negele Arsi Ketema has higher xG: 1.16 vs 1.05. Dire Dawa Kenema: 6.3 shots per match, Negele Arsi Ketema: 7.5.

Match halves

Dire Dawa Kenema: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.55. Negele Arsi Ketema: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.55.

Goals by minute

Dire Dawa Kenema: 76-90+ (3 goals). Negele Arsi Ketema: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
0 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

67Possession (%)33
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
11Shots12
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
3Shots on target6
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.22xG1.41
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
4Corners4
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
43Dangerous attacks32
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
11Fouls11
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0Cards0
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.82Goals scored / match0.91
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1Goals conceded / match0.82
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
56%Average possession48%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
2.45Shots on target / match3
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.27Shots per match7.55
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
2.45Shots on target3
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
13%Shot conversion12%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
56%Possession48%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.05xG for1.16
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.44xG against1.19
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Shooting quality

Dire Dawa Kenema: Efficient finishingNegele Arsi Ketema: Balanced
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
Accuracy (shots on target)39%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.170.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 2 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema

Dire Dawa Kenema
LDDDW
Season result split
36% W36% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-3
1.45 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Negele Arsi Ketema
WDWLW
Season result split
36% W36% R27% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-3
1.45 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
LDWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 11% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 0.91 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema

Negele Arsi Ketema is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 0.82 goals / match - Negele Arsi Ketema

Dire Dawa Kenema scoring profile: mixed

Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Negele Arsi Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).

Negele Arsi Ketema scoring profile: strong

Negele Arsi Ketema scores in 64% of matches (7 of 11 matches), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).

9Goals scored (season)10
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
11Goals conceded (season)9
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1.82Average goals in match1.73
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
4Goals scored (last 5)6
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
5Goals conceded (last 5)4
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they score at least...

55%1 goal64%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
27%2 goals27%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal64%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
27%2 goals18%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%3 goals0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%4 goals0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

45%
Negele Arsi Ketema - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 11 matches
46%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time27%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
9%Scored in both halves9%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

BTTS and goal count

27%Min. 3 goals and BTTS36%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
60%BTTS - last 540%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time36%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
9%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

2nd half

73%Min. 1 goal after half-time64%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time18%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Negele Arsi Ketema is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.91 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema · 1.18 pts / match - Negele Arsi Ketema

Dire Dawa Kenema - half-time state
18% leading36% draw45% trailing
Negele Arsi Ketema - half-time state
9% leading91% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.91Points per match (1st half)1.18
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.27Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.27
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.82Average goals (1st half)0.64
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
45%Clean sheet before half-time73%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
73%No goal before half-time64%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

After half-time (2nd half)

1.18Points per match (2nd half)1.27
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.55Goals scored (2nd half)0.55
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
0.45Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
1Average goals (2nd half)1.09
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
55%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema
64%No goal after half-time64%
Dire Dawa KenemaNegele Arsi Ketema

Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results

27% W36% R36% P
10
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.91
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Negele Arsi Ketema - second-half results

27% W45% R27% P
13
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding400%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dire Dawa Kenema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Negele Arsi Ketema - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.61.4
1 goal40%80%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dire Dawa Kenema
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
2
46-60
3
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dire Dawa Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.44
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
89%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Negele Arsi Ketema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Dire Dawa KenemaLigaNegele Arsi Ketema
Average goals in match 1.821.80 1.73
Both teams scored 45%46% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 27%29% 36%
Clean sheets 27%36% 36%
Goal before half-time 73%58% 36%
Goal after half-time 73%61% 64%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.80
Average goals per match
46%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
36%
Clean sheets
0.92
Home goals / match
0.88
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
61%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Dire Dawa Kenema 0:3 Negele Arsi Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Dire Dawa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

Dire Dawa Kenema score 0.82 goals per game on average and Negele Arsi Ketema 0.91. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Dire Dawa Kenema's matches and 45% of Negele Arsi Ketema's.

What form are Dire Dawa Kenema and Negele Arsi Ketema in?

Over the last 5 games Dire Dawa Kenema have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Negele Arsi Ketema 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Negele Arsi Ketema?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.