Negele Arsi Ketema

Name: Negele Arsi Ketema - 2025/2026
Creator: NoFluffPicks

Ethiopia Premier LeagueSeason 2025/2026Data current as of 08 September 2026

Form (recent matches)

DWDWL

Negele Arsi Ketema 2025/2026: season in numbers

Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League

Negele Arsi Ketema plays in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia) during the 2025/2026 season.

Form and record

Negele Arsi Ketema: 15-15-8, 1.58 pts/match. Last five: DWDWL (1.60 pts/match).

Goals and clean sheets

Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.97 and concedes 0.79 goals per match. Clean sheets: 45%. Failed to score: 37%.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: 37%. Over 2.5: 29%. Over 3.5: 5%. Average goals in this team's matches: 1.76.

Goal patterns

Over 2.5 + BTTS appeared in 18% of matches. The team scored in both halves in 18% of matches. Last five: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 40%.

Halves and minutes

Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.45 goals in the first half and 0.53 in the second half. Most goals come in minutes 76-90 (11 goals).

xG and playing style

Negele Arsi Ketema produces 1.14 xG and allows 1.20 xGA per match. Shots: 7.2 total, 2.7 on target. Possession: 48%.

Key statistical indicators

Negele Arsi Ketema has a net xG of -0.06 per match. The last-five PPG differs from the season average by 0.02. This is historical team context, not a prediction of the next result.

Season overview

1.58Points per match

0.97Goals for / match

0.79Goals against / match

29%Over 2.5 goals

37%Both teams scored

45%Clean sheets

37%Matches without scoring

1.14xG / match

Record

Wins, draws and losses overall and split by home and away matches.

Season result split

39% W39% R21% P

15-15-8

Whole season (W-D-L)

8-8-3

Home (W-D-L)

7-7-5

Away (W-D-L)

Goal difference

1.58

PPG (season)

1.60

PPG (last 5)

2-2-1

Last 5 (W-D-L)

Goals

Team goal production compared with league averages and goal-count distribution.

Goals for / match0.97League average: 0.89

Goals against / match0.79League average: 0.89

Both teams scored37%League average: 40%

Clean sheets45%League average: 40%

Matches without scoring37%

37%

BTTS14 of 38 matches

45%

Clean sheets17 of 38 matches

37%

Matches without scoring14 of 38 matches

Goals for (season)

Goals against (season)

How often they score at least...

1 goal63%

2 goals29%

3 goals5%

4 goals0%

How often they concede at least...

1 goal55%

2 goals16%

3 goals5%

4 goals3%

Goal lines (Over/Under)

How often this team's matches clear goal thresholds, including halves and league context.

Full match - Over / Under

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)

Over 82%Under 18%

Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)

Over 61%Under 39%

Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)

Over 29%Under 71%

Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)

Over 5%Under 95%

Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)

Over 0%Under 100%

League Over 2.5: 28%

Halves

Goal before half-time53%League average: 56%

Min. 2 goals before half-time24%League average: 22%

Min. 3 goals before half-time0%League average: 4%

Goal after half-time66%League average: 59%

Min. 2 goals after half-time24%League average: 27%

Min. 3 goals after half-time8%League average: 6%

Goal patterns

Goal-event combinations in this team's matches plus detailed averages from the last five.

Combinations (season)

BTTS at half-time11%

BTTS in both halves0%

Scored in both halves18%

Min. 3 goals and BTTS18%

Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%

Last 5 matches - details
	Value
Goals for / match	1.0
Goals against / match	1.0
Average goals in match	2.0
xG per match	0.88
Opponent xG	1.35
BTTS	40%
Over 2.5	40%

Match halves

First and second half points, goals, clean sheets, half-time state and last-five split.

Half-time state

29% W58% R13% P

leading / drawing / trailing

Second-half results

29% W47% R24% P

Half-time points

1.45

PPG (1st half)

Goal difference

Second-half points

1.34

PPG (2nd half)

Goals and clean sheets by half

Scored before half-time0.45

Conceded before half-time0.32

Scored after half-time0.53

Conceded after half-time0.47

Clean sheet before half-time76%

Clean sheet after half-time58%

No goal before half-time61%

No goal after half-time58%

Last 5 matches - details
	1st half	2nd half
PPG (season)	1.40	1.60
Goals for / match	0.4	0.6
Goals against / match	0.6	0.4
Average goals in match	1.0	1.0
Min. 1 goal	80%	80%
Min. 2 goals	20%	20%
Min. 3 goals	0%	0%
Clean sheets	60%	60%
Matches without scoring	60%	40%
Goal difference	-1	+1

1st half (Last 5): 40% leading - 20% drawing - 40% trailing - BTTS HT (last 5) 0%

2nd half (Last 5): 40% won - 40% drawing - 20% lost

Goals by minute

Match phases where this team most often scores and concedes.

Negele Arsi Ketema

ScoredConceded

0-15

16-30

31-45

46-60

61-75

76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Advanced stats

Shots, finishing, possession and expected goals (xG).

Attacking profile

Style: Efficient finishing

1.14

xG / match

1.20

xG against

7.2

Shots per match

2.7

Shots on target

13.6%

Shot conversion

48%

Possession

38%

Shot accuracy

shots on target

0.16

Chance quality

xG per shot

0.35

Finishing

goals per shot on target

xG per shot around 0.08 means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances.

Key statistical indicators

A combined view of xG, efficiency, form and match patterns from completed games.

Net xG balance

Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.

-0.06

Results compared with xG

Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.

+0.24

Points compared with goal balance

Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.

-8.8 pts

Finishing efficiency

Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.

-0.17

Defensive efficiency

Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.

+0.41

Attack vs league

How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.

109%

Defence vs league

How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.

89%

Form trend

Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.

+0.02

Lead holding

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

134%

Defence after half-time

How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.

+0.1

Late goals

30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.

30%

* All indicators are calculated only from season statistics. They are not NoFluffPicks model predictions.

Form across the last 5, 6 and 10 matches

Compare the team's latest matches across all competitions. The 5-match window reacts fastest to change, while 10 matches show the broader trend.

Last 5 matches

2-2-1

1.60Points / match

1.00 / 1.00Goals for / against

40%BTTS

40%Over 2.5

40%Clean sheets

0.88 / 1.35xG / xGA

Last 6 matches

2-3-1

1.50Points / match

0.83 / 0.83Goals for / against

33%BTTS

33%Over 2.5

50%Clean sheets

0.95 / 1.28xG / xGA

Last 10 matches

4-4-2

1.60Points / match

1.00 / 1.00Goals for / against

30%BTTS

50%Over 2.5

50%Clean sheets

1.06 / 1.28xG / xGA

Corners

See how often the team wins corners, concedes them and crosses the main total-corners lines.

Overall

38 matches

3.4

Corners won per match

3.9

Corners conceded per match

7.3

Total corners per match

28.9%

Over 8.5 corners

21.1%

Over 9.5 corners

15.8%

Over 10.5 corners

Home

19 matches

2.6

Corners won per match

4.5

Corners conceded per match

7.1

Total corners per match

26.3%

Over 8.5 corners

10.5%

Over 9.5 corners

5.3%

Over 10.5 corners

Away

19 matches

4.3

Corners won per match

3.3

Corners conceded per match

7.5

Total corners per match

31.6%

Over 8.5 corners

31.6%

Over 9.5 corners

26.3%

Over 10.5 corners

Cards and discipline

Compare the team's cards with those shown to its opponents, including red-card frequency.

Overall

27 matches

0.0

Team cards per match

0.0

Opponent cards per match

0.0

Total cards per match

0.0%

Over 3.5

0.0%

Over 4.5

0.0%

Red cards

Home

13 matches

0.0

Team cards per match

0.0

Opponent cards per match

0.0

Total cards per match

0.0%

Over 3.5

0.0%

Over 4.5

0.0%

Red cards

Away

14 matches

0.0

Team cards per match

0.0

Opponent cards per match

0.0

Total cards per match

0.0%

Over 3.5

0.0%

Over 4.5

0.0%

Red cards

Strength of recent opponents

Recent results make more sense when you also know how strong the opponents have been.

1.31

Opponents' average PPG

10.8

Opponents' average position

Average difficulty

Negele Arsi Ketema's last 10 matches came against opponents averaging 1.31 points per game and position 10.8 out of 20. This was a Average difficulty run of opponents compared with the league average.

Recent matches

Round 38

Mekelle Kenema

3 : 001/07/2026

Round 37

Round 36

Round 35

Round 34

Round 33

Round 32

Round 31

Round 30

Round 29

Round 28

Round 27

Round 26

Round 25

Round 24

FAQ

What form is Negele Arsi Ketema in?

Negele Arsi Ketema's recent form reads DWDWL (most recent first). The side averages 1.58 points per game this season.

How many goals does Negele Arsi Ketema score per game?

Negele Arsi Ketema score 0.97 goals per game on average and concede 0.79. They're the starting point for judging the side's attack and defensive solidity this season.

How often do Negele Arsi Ketema's matches see BTTS and Over 2.5?

In Negele Arsi Ketema's matches both teams score in 37% and Over 2.5 lands in 29%. The team keeps a clean sheet in 45% of games.

Where can I check Negele Arsi Ketema's stats and betting tips?

We gather Negele Arsi Ketema's statistics here — from form to Over/Under. For tips and full match analysis, head to the NoFluffPicks app.