Negele Arsi Ketema crest

Negele Arsi Ketema

Ethiopia Premier LeagueSeason 2026/20274. placeData current as of 25 October 2026
Form (recent matches)
DDW
Unbeaten for 3 matches

Negele Arsi Ketema 2026/2027: season in numbers

Negele Arsi Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League

Negele Arsi Ketema plays in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia) during the 2026/2027 season. League position: 4. Next match: Adama Kenema.

Form and record

Negele Arsi Ketema: 1-2-0, 1.67 pts/match. Last five: DDW (1.67 pts/match).

Goals and clean sheets

Negele Arsi Ketema scores 1.33 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Clean sheets: 67%. Failed to score: 33%.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: 33%. Over 2.5: 33%. Over 3.5: 0%. Average goals in this team's matches: 1.67.

Goal patterns

Over 2.5 + BTTS appeared in 0% of matches. The team scored in both halves in 33% of matches. Last five: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 33%.

Halves and minutes

Negele Arsi Ketema scores 0.67 goals in the first half and 0.67 in the second half. Most goals come in minutes 16-30 (2 goals).

xG and playing style

Negele Arsi Ketema produces 1.11 xG and allows 1.19 xGA per match. Shots: 6.7 total, 2.3 on target. Possession: 47%.

Key statistical indicators

Negele Arsi Ketema has a net xG of -0.08 per match. The last-five PPG differs from the season average by 0.00. This is historical team context, not a prediction of the next result.

Season overview

1.67Points per match5 pts
1.33Goals for / match
0.33Goals against / match
33%Over 2.5 goals
33%Both teams scored
67%Clean sheets
33%Matches without scoring
1.11xG / matchxG (expected goals) — how many goals a team should score from the quality of its chances.

Record

Wins, draws and losses overall and split by home and away matches.

Season result split
33% W67% D0% L
1-2-0
Whole season (W-D-LW-D-L — wins, draws and losses.)
0-0-0
Home (W-D-LW-D-L — wins, draws and losses.)
1-2-0
Away (W-D-LW-D-L — wins, draws and losses.)
+3
Goal difference
1.67
PPG (season)
1.67
PPG (last 5)
1-2-0
Last 5 (W-D-LW-D-L — wins, draws and losses.)

Goals

Team goal production compared with league averages and goal-count distribution.

Goals for / match1.33League average: 0.75
Goals against / match0.33League average: 0.75
Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.33%League average: 38%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.67%League average: 38%
Matches without scoringFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.33%
33%
BTTSBTTS (both teams to score) — percentage of matches where both teams scored.1 of 3 matches
67%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.2 of 3 matches
33%
Matches without scoringFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.1 of 3 matches
4
Goals for (season)
1
Goals against (season)

How often they score at least...

1 goal67%
2 goals33%
3 goals33%
4 goals0%

How often they concede at least...

1 goal33%
2 goals0%
3 goals0%
4 goals0%

Goal lines (Over/Under)

How often this team's matches clear goal thresholds, including halves and league context.

Full match - Over / Under

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 33%Under 67%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 0%Under 100%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 0%Under 100%
League Over 2.5: 13%

Halves

Goal before half-time33%League average: 50%
Min. 2 goals before half-time33%League average: 4%
Min. 3 goals before half-time0%League average: 0%
Goal after half-time67%League average: 63%
Min. 2 goals after half-time33%League average: 21%
Min. 3 goals after half-time0%League average: 8%

Goal patterns

Goal-event combinations in this team's matches plus detailed averages from the last five.

Combinations (season)

BTTS at half-time0%
BTTS in both halves0%
Scored in both halves33%
Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
Last 5 matches - details
Value
Goals for / match1.3
Goals against / match0.3
Average goals in match1.7
xG per matchxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.11
Opponent xGxGA - expected goals allowed to opponents.1.19
BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.33%
Over 2.5Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.33%

Match halves

First and second half points, goals, clean sheets, half-time state and last-five split.

Half-time state

33% W67% D0% L
leading / drawing / trailing

Second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
5
Half-time points
1.67
PPG (1st half)
+2
Goal difference
5
Second-half points
1.67
PPG (2nd half)

Goals and clean sheets by half

Scored before half-time0.67
Conceded before half-time0
Scored after half-time0.67
Conceded after half-time0.33
Clean sheet before half-time100%
Clean sheet after half-time67%
No goal before half-time67%
No goal after half-time33%
Last 5 matches - details
1st half2nd half
PPG (season)1.671.67
Goals for / match0.70.7
Goals against / match0.00.3
Average goals in match0.71.0
Min. 1 goal33%67%
Min. 2 goals33%33%
Min. 3 goals0%0%
Clean sheets100%67%
Matches without scoring67%33%
Goal difference+2+1
1st half (Last 5): 33% leading - 67% drawing - 0% trailing - BTTS HT (last 5) 0%
2nd half (Last 5): 33% won - 67% drawing - 0% lost

Goals by minute

Match phases where this team most often scores and concedes.

Negele Arsi Ketema
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Advanced stats

Shots, finishing, possession and expected goals (xG).

Attacking profile

Style: Counter-attacking
1.11
xG / matchxG (expected goals) — how many goals a team should score from the quality of its chances.
1.19
xG againstxG against — the quality of chances a team allows opponents. Lower is better defensively.
6.7
Shots per match
2.3
Shots on target
20%
Shot conversion
47%
Possession
35%
Shot accuracy
shots on target
0.17
Chance quality
xG per shot
0.57
Finishing
goals per shot on target

xG per shot around 0.08 means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances.

Key statistical indicators

A combined view of xG, efficiency, form and match patterns from completed games.

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.86
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
177%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
44%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Lead holding
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
100%
Defence after half-time
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* All indicators are calculated only from season statistics. They are not NoFluffPicks model predictions.

Form across the last 5, 6 and 10 matches

Compare the team's latest matches across all competitions. The 5-match window reacts fastest to change, while 10 matches show the broader trend.

Last 5 matches

2-2-1
1.60Points / matchPPG - points per game.
1.20 / 0.80Goals for / against
20%BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.
40%Over 2.5Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
60%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.
1.15 / 1.27xGxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances. / xGAxGA - expected goals allowed to opponents.

Last 6 matches

2-3-1
1.50Points / matchPPG - points per game.
1.17 / 0.83Goals for / against
33%BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.
33%Over 2.5Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
50%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.
1.07 / 1.28xGxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances. / xGAxGA - expected goals allowed to opponents.

Last 10 matches

3-5-2
1.40Points / matchPPG - points per game.
0.90 / 1.00Goals for / against
30%BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.
40%Over 2.5Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
50%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.
1.05 / 1.27xGxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances. / xGAxGA - expected goals allowed to opponents.

Recent matches

Round 3
Ethiopia Bunna
0 : 3
Negele Arsi Ketema
Round 2
Mebrat Hayl
0 : 0
Negele Arsi Ketema
Round 1
Kedus Giorgis
1 : 1
Negele Arsi Ketema

Upcoming matches

Round 4
Negele Arsi Ketema
Adama Kenema
Round 5
Sheger Ketema
Negele Arsi Ketema
Round 6
Negele Arsi Ketema
Gamo Chencha
Round 7
Negele Arsi Ketema
Sidama Bunna
Round 8
Negele Arsi Ketema
Awassa Kenema
Round 9
Negele Arsi Ketema
Bahardar
Round 10
Negele Arsi Ketema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Round 11
Negele Arsi Ketema
Fasil Ketema
Round 12
Ethiopian Medhin
Negele Arsi Ketema
Round 13
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Negele Arsi Ketema

FAQ

What form is Negele Arsi Ketema in?

Negele Arsi Ketema's recent form reads DDW (most recent first). The side averages 1.67 points per game this season.

What position is Negele Arsi Ketema in the table?

Negele Arsi Ketema occupy position 4 in the Ethiopia Premier League table with 5 points.

How many goals does Negele Arsi Ketema score per game?

Negele Arsi Ketema score 1.33 goals per game on average and concede 0.33. They're the starting point for judging the side's attack and defensive solidity this season.

How often do Negele Arsi Ketema's matches see BTTS and Over 2.5?

In Negele Arsi Ketema's matches both teams score in 33% and Over 2.5 lands in 33%. The team keeps a clean sheet in 67% of games.

Who do Negele Arsi Ketema play next?

Negele Arsi Ketema's next match is Negele Arsi Ketema - Adama Kenema (26 October 2026). Pre-match stats and the full schedule are further down this page.

Where can I check Negele Arsi Ketema's stats and betting tips?

We gather Negele Arsi Ketema's statistics here — from form to Over/Under. For tips and full match analysis, head to the NoFluffPicks app.