Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara: match statistics
Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dolomiti Bellunesi played Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Dolomiti Bellunesi: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Novara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dolomiti Bellunesi scores 0.86 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Novara scores 0.86 and concedes 1.29. League average: 2.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dolomiti Bellunesi 57%, Novara 43%. Over 2.5: Dolomiti Bellunesi 43%, Novara 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Novara has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.16. Dolomiti Bellunesi: 8.3 shots per match, Novara: 12.4.
Match halves
Dolomiti Bellunesi: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.71. Novara: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Dolomiti Bellunesi: 46-60 (2 goals). Novara: 46-60 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.25 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
A draw looks the most likely outcome: Dolomiti Bellunesi have drawn 2 of their 3 home matches, with an average of just 1 goal scored in those games. The hosts have the better overall season record (2 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat compared with Novara’s 1 win, 3 draws and 3 defeats), but are yet to win at home. Both teams have failed to score in 67% of their matches at home and away respectively, making a decisive result less likely. Novara create slightly better chances on the road, averaging 1.42 xG compared with the hosts’ 1.28 at home, but both sides concede an average of 0.67 goals in these circumstances. Dolomiti have recorded 1 win and 3 draws in their last 5 matches, further pointing towards the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest indication against both teams scoring is Novara’s lack of attacking output: the visitors have failed to score in 67% of their matches and average just 0.67 goals away from home. Dolomiti Bellunesi have also drawn a blank in 50% of their home matches, while both teams have averaged 0.8 goals per game across their last five matches. The historical rate of matches with goals from both sides stands at 50% for the hosts and 33% for the visitors, against a league average of 49%. Novara’s xG of 1.42 and the hosts’ average of 1.75 goals conceded at home provide some counterbalance, making an away goal a realistic possibility. Even so, frequent scoreless performances—particularly by Novara—make it slightly more likely that at least one team will fail to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: Novara have stayed below this line in every match included in the available data, while the league average is 2.21 goals. The visitors average just 0.67 goals and have failed to score in 67% of their matches, although their average xG of 1.42 suggests greater attacking potential. Dolomiti Bellunesi average 1.00 goal, while Novara concede just 0.67, limiting the projected goal output for the hosts. Over their last five matches, both teams averaged 0.8 goals, and Over 2.5 goals landed in 40% of those games. The projected total of 2.25 goals gives Under 3.5 a clearer edge than the riskier Under 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal for a half-time draw is that Dolomiti Bellunesi were level at the break in all of their last five matches, while Novara were level in three of five; both teams averaged just 0.2 first-half goals over this period. A full-time draw is supported by their evenly matched recent scoring form: each team averaged 0.8 goals per match, while the hosts drew three of their last five games and the visitors drew two. Novara have a better record in the home and away matches covered by the statistics, averaging 1.33 points compared with Dolomiti’s 0.5, so a draw is not certain. However, the visitors have scored just 0.67 goals per match in these games and failed to score in 67% of them, which limits the likelihood of an away win. Therefore, a draw at both half-time and full-time is the most likely outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 23% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dolomiti Bellunesi is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 1 pts / match - Novara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dolomiti Bellunesi is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 1.29 goals / match - Novara
Dolomiti Bellunesi scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Novara scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Dolomiti Bellunesi keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dolomiti Bellunesi
Over / Under - Novara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dolomiti Bellunesi is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Dolomiti Bellunesi · 0.43 pts / match - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dolomiti Bellunesi - second-half results
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Novara - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dolomiti Bellunesi
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Dolomiti Bellunesi | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.57 | 2.25 | ▼ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 14% | 57% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Dolomiti Bellunesi 0 - 2 - 0 Novara. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Dolomiti Bellunesi 1:2 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dolomiti Bellunesi and Novara?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dolomiti Bellunesi won 0, Novara won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara?
Dolomiti Bellunesi score 0.86 goals per game on average and Novara 0.86. The Serie C Group A average is 2.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Dolomiti Bellunesi's matches and 43% of Novara's.
What form are Dolomiti Bellunesi and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Dolomiti Bellunesi have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Novara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara?
The statistical background for Dolomiti Bellunesi vs Novara — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.