Scotland - League TwoData current as of 01 September 2026

Dumbarton vs Elgin City: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Dumbarton vs Elgin City: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Dumbarton play Elgin City in League Two (Scotland). The match date is 5 September 2026.

Current form

Dumbarton: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Elgin City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Dumbarton scores 0.40 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Elgin City scores 3.40 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.20 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Dumbarton 20%, Elgin City 60%. Over 2.5: Dumbarton 40%, Elgin City 80%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Elgin City has higher xG: 1.27 vs 0.98. Dumbarton: 6.4 shots per match, Elgin City: 9.2.

Match halves

Dumbarton: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.20. Elgin City: half-time lead 80%, second-half goals 1.60.

Goals by minute

Dumbarton: 16-30 (1 goals). Elgin City: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League Two: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 0-3-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 75%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.55)
(2.30)
(2.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.4Goals scored / match3.4
DumbartonElgin City
2Goals conceded / match1
DumbartonElgin City
45%Average possession35%
DumbartonElgin City
2.8Shots on target / match6
DumbartonElgin City

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.4Shots per match9.2
DumbartonElgin City
2.8Shots on target6
DumbartonElgin City
6.3%Shot conversion37%
DumbartonElgin City
45%Possession35%
DumbartonElgin City
0.98xG for1.27
DumbartonElgin City
1.44xG against0.96
DumbartonElgin City

Shooting quality

Dumbarton: BalancedElgin City: Counter-attacking
DumbartonElgin City
Accuracy (shots on target)44%65%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.140.57

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Elgin City is 267% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - Dumbarton · 2.2 pts / match - Elgin City

Dumbarton
LWLLL
Season result split
20% W0% R80% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-1
Last 5 at home
1-0-1
WL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.98Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Elgin City
WDWDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W40% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.4Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 0.96BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Elgin City is 750% better for: goals scored per match.

0.4 goals / match - Dumbarton · 3.4 goals / match - Elgin City

Elgin City is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1 goals / match - Elgin City

Dumbarton scoring profile: mixed

Dumbarton scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Elgin City keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

Elgin City scoring profile: very strong

Elgin City scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

2Goals scored (season)17
DumbartonElgin City
10Goals conceded (season)5
DumbartonElgin City
2.4Average goals in match4.4
DumbartonElgin City
2Goals scored (last 5)17
DumbartonElgin City
10Goals conceded (last 5)5
DumbartonElgin City

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal100%
DumbartonElgin City
0%2 goals80%
DumbartonElgin City
0%3 goals80%
DumbartonElgin City
0%4 goals60%
DumbartonElgin City

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal60%
DumbartonElgin City
80%2 goals20%
DumbartonElgin City
40%3 goals20%
DumbartonElgin City
0%4 goals0%
DumbartonElgin City

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time40%
DumbartonElgin City
0%BTTS in both halves20%
DumbartonElgin City
0%Scored in both halves80%
DumbartonElgin City

BTTS and goal count

20%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
DumbartonElgin City
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS40%
DumbartonElgin City
20%BTTS - last 560%
DumbartonElgin City

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
DumbartonElgin City
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time80%
DumbartonElgin City
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time40%
DumbartonElgin City

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time80%
DumbartonElgin City
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time80%
DumbartonElgin City
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time40%
DumbartonElgin City

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Elgin City is 550% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.4 pts / match - Dumbarton · 2.6 pts / match - Elgin City

Dumbarton - half-time state
0% leading40% draw60% trailing
Elgin City - half-time state
80% leading20% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.4Points per match (1st half)2.6
DumbartonElgin City
0.2Goals scored (1st half)1.8
DumbartonElgin City
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
DumbartonElgin City
1.2Average goals (1st half)2.2
DumbartonElgin City
40%Clean sheet before half-time60%
DumbartonElgin City
80%No goal before half-time0%
DumbartonElgin City

After half-time (2nd half)

0.6Points per match (2nd half)2
DumbartonElgin City
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)1.6
DumbartonElgin City
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
DumbartonElgin City
1.2Average goals (2nd half)2.2
DumbartonElgin City
20%Clean sheet after half-time60%
DumbartonElgin City
80%No goal after half-time20%
DumbartonElgin City

Dumbarton - second-half results

20% W0% R80% P
2
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.40
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Elgin City - second-half results

60% W20% R20% P
13
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+7
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 80% of matches and wins 60%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Dumbarton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.60
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Elgin City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.00
Goals scored / match1.81.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match2.22.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%80%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal0%20%
Goal difference+7+5
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Dumbarton
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Elgin City
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
4
1
16-30
5
1
31-45
3
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.40
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.7 : 2.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Dumbarton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.58
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
21%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
156%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Elgin City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+2.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+2.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
266%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).

Teams vs league

DumbartonLigaElgin City
Average goals in match 2.403.20 4.40
Both teams scored 20%48% 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%60% 80%
Clean sheets 20%26% 40%
Goal before half-time 60%76% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%84% 80%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.20
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.92
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+50%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+36%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
12%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Dumbarton 0 - 3 - 1 Elgin City. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 75% matches.

Elgin City FC
1 : 1
Dumbarton FC
Dumbarton FC
2 : 2
Elgin City FC
Elgin City FC
2 : 0
Dumbarton FC
Dumbarton FC
1 : 1
Elgin City FC

FAQ

When do Dumbarton and Elgin City play?

Dumbarton face Elgin City on 5 September 2026 in League Two. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Dumbarton and Elgin City?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 0, Elgin City won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Dumbarton vs Elgin City?

Dumbarton score 0.40 goals per game on average and Elgin City 3.40. The League Two average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Dumbarton's matches and 60% of Elgin City's.

What form are Dumbarton and Elgin City in?

Over the last 5 games Dumbarton have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Elgin City 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dumbarton vs Elgin City?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.