Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic: match statistics
Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dumbarton played Forfar Athletic in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Dumbarton: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Forfar Athletic: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dumbarton scores 1.00 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Forfar Athletic scores 1.00 and concedes 1.63. League average: 3.48 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dumbarton 38%, Forfar Athletic 38%. Over 2.5: Dumbarton 63%, Forfar Athletic 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Dumbarton has higher xG: 1.07 vs 1.03. Dumbarton: 7.6 shots per match, Forfar Athletic: 7.5.
Match halves
Dumbarton: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.50. Forfar Athletic: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Dumbarton: 31-45+ (2 goals). Forfar Athletic: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 3.48 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 75%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dumbarton have won 3 of their 4 home matches so far, while Forfar Athletic are yet to win away and have lost 2 of their 4 matches on the road. The hosts average 1.5 goals scored and 1 conceded at home, whereas the visitors manage just 0.75 goals per away game and concede 2.5. Although both teams average 3.5 shots on target in these conditions, Dumbarton’s conversion rate stands at 25%, compared with 12% for Forfar. The quality of chances created also gives the hosts a slight edge: their home xG is 1.00, while the visitors’ away xG is 0.92. Dumbarton have scored 11 goals and won 3 times in their last 5 matches, but have also conceded 13, leaving Forfar with a chance to cause an upset.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from Dumbarton’s home matches: the hosts kept a clean sheet in 75% of them, and none saw both teams find the net. Forfar average just 0.75 goals away from home and generate an xG of 0.92, while Dumbarton concede an average of 0.75 goals at home. A home goal is more likely, as Forfar concede an average of 2.5 goals away and have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road. Recent form favours both teams to score: Dumbarton conceded an average of 2.6 goals across their last five matches, while Forfar scored 1.0 goal. Even so, Forfar’s away attack against Dumbarton’s home defence gives a slight edge to BTTS - No, which means at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Over 1.5 goals: all of Forfar’s away matches have gone over this line, while Dumbarton’s last 5 matches have averaged 4.8 goals. The hosts have recently scored 2.2 goals per match, compared with 1.0 for the visitors, and Forfar have conceded an average of 2.5 goals away from home. However, caution on higher lines is warranted, as Dumbarton have kept a clean sheet in 75% of their home matches, and none of their home games have gone over 3.5 goals. With an expected total of 2.65 goals, Over 1.5 looks a safer option than betting on at least 3 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Dumbarton led at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches analysed, while Forfar were behind at half-time in 2 of their 4 away fixtures and did not lead in any of them. The hosts score an average of 1.0 goals before the break, while the visitors concede 1.5 in that period, pointing to an early Dumbarton lead. The case for the hosts holding on is further supported by their 75% win rate compared with Forfar’s failure to win away, as well as Dumbarton conceding an average of 0.75 goals against Forfar’s 2.5. Confidence is tempered by recent form: across their last five matches regardless of venue, Dumbarton conceded an average of 2.6 goals, while Forfar won twice. Nevertheless, the combination of stronger first halves and better home results makes a Dumbarton lead at the break followed by a full-time win the most likely scenario (HT/FT: 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dumbarton | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dumbarton is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Dumbarton · 0.8 pts / match - Forfar Athletic
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Forfar Athletic is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1.63 goals / match - Forfar Athletic
Dumbarton scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Forfar Athletic keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Forfar Athletic scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 25% (2 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dumbarton
Over / Under - Forfar Athletic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forfar Athletic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dumbarton
Forfar Athletic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Dumbarton | Liga | Forfar Athletic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.75 | 3.48 | ▼ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 55% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 65% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 23% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 85% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 85% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Dumbarton 1 - 1 - 2 Forfar Athletic. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 75% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?
The League Two match finished Dumbarton 2:1 Forfar Athletic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dumbarton and Forfar Athletic?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 1, Forfar Athletic won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 75% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?
Dumbarton score 1.00 goals per game on average and Forfar Athletic 1.00. The League Two average is 3.48 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Dumbarton's matches and 38% of Forfar Athletic's.
What form are Dumbarton and Forfar Athletic in?
Over the last 5 games Dumbarton have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Forfar Athletic 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Dumbarton vs Forfar Athletic: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.