Dumbarton vs Stranraer: match statistics
Stranraer presents better away form with a 38% win rate on the road compared to Dumbarton's mere 31% home win rate. The visitors have a clear advantage in offensive statistics, recording an average of 5.23 shots on target per away match versus the hosts' 2.92 in home games. Additionally, Stranraer boasts a superior xG metric (1.30 vs 1.02), which proves they create better goalscoring opportunities. Dumbarton sits 9th in the table and has a negative record over their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats), while Stranraer occupies 5th place with a positive away goal difference (+3). The form of both teams is similar over the last five fixtures, but the quality of play and statistics favor the visitors, although the evenly matched nature of the game does not rule out a draw.
Dumbarton vs Stranraer: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dumbarton played Stranraer in League Two (Scotland). The match was played on 10 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Dumbarton: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Stranraer: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dumbarton scores 1.37 and concedes 1.70 goals per match. Stranraer scores 1.31 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dumbarton 74%, Stranraer 69%. Over 2.5: Dumbarton 59%, Stranraer 54%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
xG, shots and style
Stranraer has higher xG: 1.26 vs 1.04. Dumbarton: 7.2 shots per match, Stranraer: 9.2.
Match halves
Dumbarton: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.81. Stranraer: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.46.
Goals by minute
Dumbarton: 61-75 (10 goals). Stranraer: 31-45+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 57%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Stranraer presents better away form with a 38% win rate on the road compared to Dumbarton's mere 31% home win rate. The visitors have a clear advantage in offensive statistics, recording an average of 5.23 shots on target per away match versus the hosts' 2.92 in home games. Additionally, Stranraer boasts a superior xG metric (1.30 vs 1.02), which proves they create better goalscoring opportunities. Dumbarton sits 9th in the table and has a negative record over their last five matches (1 win, 2 draws, 2 defeats), while Stranraer occupies 5th place with a positive away goal difference (+3). The form of both teams is similar over the last five fixtures, but the quality of play and statistics favor the visitors, although the evenly matched nature of the game does not rule out a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dumbarton | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 51% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dumbarton is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.37 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1.31 goals / match - Stranraer
Stranraer is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.7 goals / match - Dumbarton · 1.35 goals / match - Stranraer
Dumbarton scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Stranraer keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
Stranraer scores in 77% of matches (20 of 26 matches), while Dumbarton keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dumbarton
Over / Under - Stranraer
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stranraer is 56% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Dumbarton · 1.5 pts / match - Stranraer
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dumbarton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stranraer - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dumbarton
Stranraer
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Dumbarton | Liga | Stranraer | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.07 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 74% | 64% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 57% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 85% | 80% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Dumbarton 0 - 1 - 1 Stranraer. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
The League Two match finished Dumbarton 2:0 Stranraer. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dumbarton and Stranraer?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dumbarton won 0, Stranraer won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
Dumbarton score 1.37 goals per game on average and Stranraer 1.31. The League Two average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Dumbarton's matches and 69% of Stranraer's.
What form are Dumbarton and Stranraer in?
Over the last 5 games Dumbarton have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Stranraer 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dumbarton vs Stranraer?
The statistical background for Dumbarton vs Stranraer — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.