Dundalk vs Derry City: match statistics
Dundalk vs Derry City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dundalk play Derry City in Premier Division (Ireland). The match date is 29 May 2026 at 20:45. Venue: Oriel Park. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Dundalk: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Derry City: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dundalk scores 1.58 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Derry City scores 1.28 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dundalk 71%, Derry City 64%. Over 2.5: Dundalk 63%, Derry City 52%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Dundalk has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.60. Dundalk: 16.0 shots per match, Derry City: 13.4.
Match halves
Dundalk: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.79. Derry City: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Dundalk: 76-90+ (15 goals). Derry City: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Dundalk possess a clear home offensive edge: on average 1.78 goals per game and 6.22 shots on target from 14.78 attempts, while Derry on the road record just 0.89 goals and 3.11 shots on target from 10.11 attempts; the higher xG 1.74 versus 1.23 confirms the hosts’ superior attacking potential. The home side convert chances better (conversion rate 12% vs 9%) and have 0% of home matches without scoring, whereas Derry fail to score in 44% of away fixtures, which materially limits their prospects. A downside for Dundalk is recent defending — 8 goals conceded in the last 5 matches (1.6 per game), despite conceding 1.0 goals per home game on the season (xG against 1.45); Derry have conceded 4 in their last 5 (0.8 per game), so the visitors may have counter-attacking opportunities. Over the longer term the hosts win 56% of home matches and have a +7 home goal difference, while Derry win only 11% of away games and have a -2 away goal difference, giving Dundalk clear favorite status. Considering the superiority in shots, xG and conversion and Derry’s high rate of goalless away games, I tip a Dundalk win; I estimate roughly 60% chance for the hosts, 30% for a draw and 10% for the visitors.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dundalk | Derry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Derry City is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Dundalk · 1.4 pts / match - Derry City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundalk is 23% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Dundalk · 1.28 goals / match - Derry City
Derry City is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Dundalk · 1.24 goals / match - Derry City
Dundalk scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Derry City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (6 of 25 matches).
Derry City scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Dundalk keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dundalk
Over / Under — Derry City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dundalk is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Dundalk · 1.28 pts / match - Derry City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundalk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Derry City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dundalk
Derry City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Dundalk | Liga | Derry City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.08 | 2.79 | ▼ 2.52 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | • 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 79% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Dundalk 0 - 2 - 0 Derry City. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundalk vs Derry City?
The Premier Division match finished Dundalk 2:1 Derry City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundalk and Derry City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dundalk won 0, Derry City won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundalk vs Derry City?
Dundalk score 1.58 goals per game on average and Derry City 1.28. The Premier Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Dundalk's matches and 64% of Derry City's.
What form are Dundalk and Derry City in?
Over the last 5 games Dundalk have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Derry City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundalk vs Derry City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.