Dundalk vs Waterford: match statistics
Dundalk vs Waterford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dundalk play Waterford in Premier Division (Ireland). The match date is 26 June 2026 at 20:45. Venue: Oriel Park. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Dundalk: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Waterford: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dundalk scores 1.58 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Waterford scores 1.38 and concedes 1.96. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dundalk 71%, Waterford 63%. Over 2.5: Dundalk 63%, Waterford 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Dundalk has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.38. Dundalk: 16.0 shots per match, Waterford: 12.7.
Match halves
Dundalk: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.79. Waterford: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Dundalk: 76-90+ (15 goals). Waterford: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier Division: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 5.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Dundalk holds a clear home advantage in key metrics: they have won 60% of home matches, score an average of 1.8 goals per game, register 6 shots on target and have an average xG of 1.72. Waterford have yet to win away (0% wins), concede an average of 2.8 goals per game on the road and carry an average xG against of 2.17, indicating significant defensive frailties. The hosts control possession more (51% vs 41%), create chances more frequently (14.7 vs 12.5 average shots) and have never failed to score at home (0% of home games without a goal), while Waterford failed to score in 40% of their away matches. In the last 5 matches Dundalk have 3 wins and average 2 points per game, whereas Waterford have 2 wins and 1.4 points per game in the same period, confirming the hosts’ greater consistency. Considering the superiority in finishing, chance creation and the visitors’ weaker defense, I predict a Dundalk victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dundalk | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Waterford is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Dundalk · 2 pts / match - Waterford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundalk is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.58 goals / match - Dundalk · 1.38 goals / match - Waterford
Dundalk is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Dundalk · 1.96 goals / match - Waterford
Dundalk scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Waterford keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
Waterford scores in 67% of matches (16 of 24 matches), while Dundalk keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Dundalk
Over / Under — Waterford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dundalk is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Dundalk · 1 pts / match - Waterford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundalk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 38%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Waterford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dundalk
Waterford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier Division).
Teams vs league
| Dundalk | Liga | Waterford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.08 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 60% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 53% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▲ 92% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 79% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Dundalk 1 - 1 - 0 Waterford. Average goals 5.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundalk vs Waterford?
The Premier Division match finished Dundalk 2:3 Waterford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundalk and Waterford?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Dundalk won 1, Waterford won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundalk vs Waterford?
Dundalk score 1.58 goals per game on average and Waterford 1.38. The Premier Division average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Dundalk's matches and 63% of Waterford's.
What form are Dundalk and Waterford in?
Over the last 5 games Dundalk have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Waterford 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundalk vs Waterford?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.