Dundee United vs Hibernian: match statistics
Dundee United vs Hibernian: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dundee United played Hibernian in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Tannadice Park. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Dundee United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Hibernian: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dundee United scores 1.29 and concedes 1.57 goals per match. Hibernian scores 1.14 and concedes 1.57. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dundee United 29%, Hibernian 86%. Over 2.5: Dundee United 57%, Hibernian 71%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Hibernian has higher xG: 1.79 vs 1.69. Dundee United: 16.0 shots per match, Hibernian: 17.0.
Match halves
Dundee United: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.29. Hibernian: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Dundee United: 31-45+ (4 goals). Hibernian: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 4.33, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hibernian hold the edge in away results, winning 2 of their 3 matches on the road and averaging 1.67 goals, while Dundee United are still without a home win and average 0.67 goals at home. The hosts do create more chances, however: their home xG stands at 2.15, compared with Hibernian’s 1.66 away from home, although they have yet to turn that into goals. In their last 5 matches, Dundee United scored 8 goals and picked up 7 points, while Hibernian scored 6 goals and earned 4 points, so recent form favours the hosts. Both teams concede an average of 1.33 goals in the respective fixtures, and neither has kept a clean sheet, increasing the likelihood of a closely contested match. Despite Dundee United’s improvement in recent weeks, Hibernian’s away scoring record gives the visitors a slight edge.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The case for BTTS - Yes is supported by the fact that neither team kept a clean sheet in the matches analysed, while their respective rates of matches with goals scored by both sides stand at 75% and 100%. Hibernian average 1.67 goals away from home, while Dundee United concede 1.75 at home, making an away goal seem likely. The hosts score just 0.75 goals per match at home, but create chances worth 1.89 xG, and Hibernian allow opponents 1.86 xG. Caution is warranted, as BTTS occurred in only 20% of Dundee United’s and 60% of Hibernian’s last 5 matches. Even so, the combination of the hosts’ chance creation and the visitors’ consistent scoring gives the edge to the scenario in which both teams find the net.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been cleared in 75% of Dundee United matches and 100% of Hibernian matches. Both teams conceded in every match included in the season statistics, while Hibernian averaged 1.67 goals scored against 1.75 goals conceded by Dundee United. The hosts did average only 0.75 goals scored, but their xG of 1.89 indicates they created more chances than their goal tally suggests. In their last five matches, both teams cleared the Over 2.5 goals line in 60% of games, but the estimated total of 2.80 goals provides a clearer signal for the lower line. Therefore, Over 1.5 goals offers a stronger edge than the riskier Over 2.5 goals pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal concerns the first half: Dundee United were trailing at the break in all 4 home matches analysed, while Hibernian led at the break in 2 of their 3 away matches. The hosts failed to score before half-time in these matches and conceded an average of 1.25 goals, supporting the case for the visitors to lead after 45 minutes. The final results also point to the visitors holding on to their advantage: Dundee United lost 3 of 4 home matches, while Hibernian won 2 of 3 away matches. The visitors average 1.67 goals away from home, compared with the hosts’ 0.75 at home, and Hibernian at least drew the second half in all 3 of their away matches. Caution is warranted, however, as across their last 5 matches regardless of venue, Dundee United averaged 1.4 points compared with Hibernian’s 0.8. Even so, the most likely scenario remains a Hibernian lead at the break followed by a win, making HT/FT 2/2 the strongest outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dundee United | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Dundee United is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Dundee United · 0.8 pts / match - Hibernian
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dundee United is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Dundee United · 1.14 goals / match - Hibernian
Dundee United scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
Hibernian scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Dundee United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dundee United
Over / Under - Hibernian
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dundee United is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Dundee United · 0.86 pts / match - Hibernian
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dundee United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Hibernian - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dundee United
Hibernian
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Dundee United | Liga | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.86 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 52% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 76% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dundee United 0 - 2 - 1 Hibernian. Average goals 4.33, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dundee United vs Hibernian?
The Premiership match finished Dundee United 1:0 Hibernian. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dundee United and Hibernian?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dundee United won 0, Hibernian won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dundee United vs Hibernian?
Dundee United score 1.29 goals per game on average and Hibernian 1.14. The Premiership average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Dundee United's matches and 86% of Hibernian's.
What form are Dundee United and Hibernian in?
Over the last 5 games Dundee United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Hibernian 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dundee United vs Hibernian?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.