Dundee vs Aberdeen: match statistics

Aberdeen enter the match on an excellent run of five consecutive wins, while Dundee have recorded 2 wins, a draw, and 2 defeats in their last five outings. The visitors scored 13 goals during this period, averaging 2.6 per match—clearly more than Dundee’s 10 goals. Their defensive record is equally important: Aberdeen conceded just 3 goals in five matches, compared with 6 for the hosts. In the current season, Aberdeen opened with a 2:1 win, whereas Dundee suffered a 0:1 defeat, further tipping the balance in favour of the away side. The superior quality of recent results and greater consistency at both ends of the pitch point to an Aberdeen victory.

The BTTS pick is slightly supported by the attacking form of both teams: Dundee have scored an average of 2.0 goals in their last 5 matches, while Aberdeen have managed as many as 2.6. Aberdeen have won their last five matches in a row, scoring 13 goals during that run, while Dundee have conceded 6, or 1.2 per match. The hosts’ attacking potential is backed by an average xG of 1.54, although it must be noted that Aberdeen have limited opponents to just 0.6 goals and 0.92 xG per match in their last five outings. Dundee’s BTTS rate is only 20% in this run, but Aberdeen’s stands at 60%, while the league average of 67% provides additional support for a Goal/Goal scenario. The edge for “Yes” is slight, as the visitors’ solid defence realistically increases the risk of Dundee failing to score, which would result in BTTS - No.

Dundee averaged 2.0 goals scored over their last five matches, while Aberdeen averaged as many as 2.6, providing a clear basis for expecting at least two goals. The quality of chances created also points towards goals: Dundee’s average xG is 1.54, compared with Aberdeen’s 1.75. The hosts conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game during this period, while their average xG conceded to opponents stood at 1.44, so an in-form Aberdeen should create several good chances. Over 2.5 goals landed in 60% of Dundee’s last five matches and in 80% of Aberdeen’s games, but the visitors’ stronger defence, conceding just 0.6 goals per match, reduces confidence in higher goal lines. Over 1.5 goals is therefore the strongest selection, supported by a forecast of 2.83 total goals.

Aberdeen are showing significantly better current form, having won all of their last five matches while scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding just 0.6. The visitors were leading at the break in 60% of those games, scoring an average of 1.2 goals before half-time, whereas Dundee managed only 0.2 first-half goals and failed to score before the break in 80% of their matches. Aberdeen have also remained effective after the interval, averaging 1.4 goals, while the hosts lost the second half in 60% of their last five appearances. The strongest scenario is therefore Aberdeen leading at half-time and holding on to their advantage through to the final whistle (1/1), although a draw at half-time followed by an away win (X/2) remains a significant alternative.